Kirby Snead

P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 32 LHP 6'1" / 218 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	28	MIX3 levels	40	1	35	6.94	5.33	18.4%	12.3%	-0.3	K 16.5% · BB 10.9% · FIP 5.24
2024	29	MIX2 levels	51	0	47	6.94	4.56	18.6%	10.9%	-0.0	K 17.0% · BB 8.9% · FIP 4.64
2026	31	AAAPHI	34	1	49	2.76	3.65	22.5%	11.0%	—	K 19.3% · BB 9.9% · FIP 3.88
2027PROJ	32	MLBPHI	51	0	54	4.90	4.93	18.7%	11.6%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBPHI	17	0	18	5.02	5.14	18.3%	11.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBPHI	14	0	15	5.22	5.39	17.8%	12.1%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control38Command32FB velo47

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Adam Liberatore (age 31) · Brian Shouse (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.90

FIP4.93

K%18.7%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†4545

SL (21%)

SI (39%)

FB-0.7 (61%)

CH-2.2 (18%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	27	117	18	4	0	0%	2.0	11.4%	2.1%	9.3%	0.0%	3.62	2.41	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	27	117	18	4	0	0%	2.0	15.4%	3.4%	12.0%	0.0%	3.62	2.22	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	55	222	56	24	0	0%	1.3	19.0%	12.6%	6.4%	0.0%	1.79	3.09	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	55	222	56	24	0	0%	1.3	25.2%	10.8%	14.4%	0.0%	1.79	2.38	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	51	240	51	27	3	0%	1.2	15.4%	12.3%	3.1%	1.9%	3.88	4.38	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	51	240	51	27	3	0%	1.2	21.2%	11.2%	10.0%	1.2%	3.88	3.45	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	63	269	68	19	7	0%	1.3	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	2.9%	3.45	4.03	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	63	269	68	19	7	0%	1.3	25.3%	7.1%	18.2%	2.6%	3.45	3.29	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	1	48	188	64	18	1	2%	1.1	31.7%	10.6%	21.1%	0.6%	1.70	2.12	+1.4
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	1	48	188	64	18	1	2%	1.1	34.0%	9.6%	24.5%	0.5%	1.70	1.82	+1.6
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	58	267	55	21	6	0%	1.0	19.7%	7.9%	11.8%	2.4%	5.55	3.78	+0.5
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	58	267	55	21	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	7.9%	12.7%	2.2%	5.55	3.63	+0.6
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	1	35	179	33	22	6	2%	0.9	16.5%	10.9%	5.6%	3.9%	6.94	5.24	-0.3
2023	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	1	35	179	33	22	6	2%	0.9	18.4%	12.3%	6.1%	3.4%	6.94	5.33	-0.3
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	47	220	41	24	6	0%	0.9	17.0%	8.9%	8.1%	3.4%	6.94	4.64	-0.0
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	47	220	41	24	6	0%	0.9	17.0%	8.9%	8.1%	3.4%	6.94	4.64	-0.0
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	47	220	41	24	6	0%	0.9	18.6%	10.9%	7.7%	2.7%	6.94	4.56	-0.0
2026	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	34	1	49	209	47	23	4	3%	1.4	19.3%	9.9%	9.4%	2.1%	2.76	3.88	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	34	1	49	209	47	23	4	3%	1.4	19.3%	9.9%	9.4%	2.1%	2.76	3.88	—
2026	31	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	34	1	49	209	47	23	4	3%	1.4	22.5%	11.0%	11.5%	1.9%	2.76	3.65	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			79	0	74	344	58	33	6	0%	0.9	16.9%	9.6%	7.3%	1.7%	5.09	3.92	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	PHI	51	0	54	228	43	26	6	0%	1.1	18.7%	11.6%	7.1%	2.8%	4.90	4.93	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	PHI	48	0	50	211	39	25	7	0%	1.0	18.3%	11.8%	6.5%	3.1%	5.02	5.14	-0.3
2029	34	MLB MLE	PHI	43	0	45	192	34	23	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.1%	5.7%	3.4%	5.22	5.39	-0.4
2030	35	MLB MLE	PHI	39	0	41	172	29	21	6	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.5%	4.6%	3.7%	5.47	5.67	-0.5
2028	33	MLB CTX	PHI	17	0	18	76	14	9	2	0%	1.1	18.3%	11.8%	6.5%	3.1%	5.02	5.14	-0.1
2029	34	MLB CTX	PHI	14	0	15	63	11	8	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.1%	5.7%	3.4%	5.22	5.39	-0.1
2030	35	MLB CTX	PHI	10	0	11	46	8	6	2	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.5%	4.6%	3.7%	5.47	5.67	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		121	0	119	531	91	56	12	0%	1.0	17.2%	10.5%	6.7%	2.3%	5.13	4.25	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		204	0	200	895	153	94	20	0%	1.0	17.2%	10.5%	6.7%	2.3%	5.13	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		375	3	433	1911	368	184	39	1%	1.2	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	2.0%	3.97	3.81	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		173	1	200	883	170	85	18	1%	1.2	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	2.0%	3.97	3.81	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kirby Snead (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	18.7%	11.6%	2.8%	—	5.38	17.8%	5.7%	136	+0.45	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	86
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	79
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	79
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	78
Jack Taschner L 2010 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	18.1%	11.7%	3.1%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	189	78
Yorkis Perez L 2000 · 4.85 FIP	32	SU	4.85	18.9%	10.8%	3.6%	.284	4.54	20.8%	10.0%	27	-0.31	3.18	269	76
Doug Creek L 2001 · 4.48 FIP	32	SU	4.48	23.7%	15.8%	2.5%	.272	4.99	20.3%	7.6%	69	+0.51	4.48	277	76
Dan Runzler L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	32	SU	4.20	17.5%	11.0%	2.1%	.325	4.84	16.0%	3.0%	27	+0.64	2.84	187	73
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	73
Pedro Borbón L 2000 · 5.20 FIP	32	SU	5.20	13.6%	15.5%	2.4%	.274	4.23	21.1%	15.5%	104	-0.97	2.26	264	71
Tom Martin L 2001 · 5.68 FIP	31	SU	5.68	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	.311	4.25	19.8%	11.1%	96	-1.43	3.40	303	71
Valerio De Los Santos L 2005 · 5.03 FIP	32	SU	5.03	15.5%	8.7%	3.9%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	239	69
Jeremy Bleich L 2019 · 4.41 FIP	32	SW	4.41	20.1%	7.0%	3.9%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	241	68
Luis Perez L 2015 · 4.00 FIP	30	SU	4.00	15.2%	12.6%	1.1%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.32	173	68
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	67
James Jones L 2021 · 5.35 FIP	32	SU	5.35	23.0%	11.4%	5.0%	.315	4.25	18.1%	3.1%	36	-1.10	3.58	127	67
Jamie Walker L 2003 · 4.26 FIP	32	SU	4.26	16.5%	5.9%	3.3%	.256	3.76	17.6%	14.1%	161	-0.50	3.48	442	67
Scott Rice L 2014 · 4.38 FIP	32	SU	4.38	19.7%	16.7%	1.5%	.341	3.67	22.9%	5.7%	40	-0.71	3.10	104	66
Ryan Buchter L 2019 · 4.75 FIP	32	SU	4.75	25.3%	10.6%	4.4%	.286	5.24	22.9%	9.7%	32	+0.49	2.37	296	65
Tommy Layne L 2017 · 5.32 FIP	32	SU	5.32	13.3%	14.4%	2.8%	.253	3.83	21.8%	14.4%	64	-1.49	0.55	218	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	53	17.7%	11.6%	1.08	5.12
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*