Chandler Champlain

P Rochester Red Wings

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	28	27	140	5.07	4.47	19.9%	8.8%	—	K 16.7% · BB 8.1% · FIP 4.72
2025	26	AAAKC	29	25	119	7.84	4.88	17.7%	9.0%	—	K 15.2% · BB 8.1% · FIP 4.97
2026	27	AAAWSH	28	19	128	3.95	4.20	17.9%	5.8%	—	K 15.4% · BB 5.2% · FIP 4.58
2027PROJ	28	MLBWSH	15	15	88	5.16	5.16	14.3%	7.4%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBWSH	5	5	31	5.14	5.19	14.8%	7.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBWSH	7	7	43	5.05	5.03	17.0%	7.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control50Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsAndres Ivan Meza (age 28) · Travis Smith (age 29) · Luke Irvine (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%14.3%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%6.9%

Proj IP88

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	105	464	116	30	14	92%	4.4	18.6%	7.6%	11.1%	3.8%	5.98	4.56	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	105	464	116	30	14	92%	4.4	25.0%	6.5%	18.5%	3.0%	5.98	3.48	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	135	549	125	43	16	100%	5.4	18.0%	8.8%	9.2%	3.9%	3.33	4.81	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	135	549	125	43	16	100%	5.4	22.8%	7.8%	14.9%	2.9%	3.33	3.74	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	140	604	120	53	21	96%	5.0	16.7%	8.1%	8.6%	3.7%	5.07	4.72	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	140	604	120	53	21	96%	5.0	16.7%	8.1%	8.6%	3.7%	5.07	4.72	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	140	604	120	53	21	96%	5.0	19.9%	8.8%	11.1%	3.5%	5.07	4.47	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	29	25	119	565	100	51	20	86%	4.1	15.2%	8.1%	7.1%	3.9%	7.84	4.97	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	29	25	119	565	100	51	20	86%	4.1	15.2%	8.1%	7.1%	3.9%	7.84	4.97	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	29	25	119	565	100	51	20	86%	4.1	17.7%	9.0%	8.7%	3.5%	7.84	4.88	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	28	19	128	515	92	30	18	68%	4.6	15.4%	5.2%	10.1%	3.8%	3.95	4.58	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	28	19	128	515	92	30	18	68%	4.6	15.4%	5.2%	10.1%	3.8%	3.95	4.58	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	28	19	128	515	92	30	18	68%	4.6	17.9%	5.8%	12.0%	3.5%	3.95	4.20	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	WSH	15	15	88	372	53	28	13	100%	5.9	14.3%	7.4%	6.9%	3.5%	5.16	5.16	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	WSH	14	14	84	353	52	27	13	100%	6.0	14.8%	7.7%	7.1%	3.6%	5.14	5.19	-0.3
2029	30	MLB MLE	WSH	13	13	79	332	56	24	13	100%	6.1	17.0%	7.2%	9.8%	3.8%	5.05	5.03	-0.1
2030	31	MLB MLE	WSH	12	12	73	310	52	24	12	100%	6.1	16.9%	7.6%	9.3%	4.0%	5.12	5.20	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	WSH	5	5	31	131	19	10	5	100%	6.2	14.8%	7.7%	7.1%	3.6%	5.14	5.19	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	WSH	7	7	43	182	31	13	7	100%	6.1	17.0%	7.2%	9.8%	3.8%	5.05	5.03	-0.1
2030	31	MLB CTX	WSH	8	8	50	211	36	16	8	100%	6.2	16.9%	7.6%	9.3%	4.0%	5.12	5.20	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		21	21	124	523	86	39	20	100%	5.9	16.4%	7.5%	8.9%	3.8%	5.10	4.76	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	139	63	32	100%	6.0	16.4%	7.5%	8.9%	3.8%	5.10	4.76	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		134	118	628	2697	451	205	102	88%	4.7	16.7%	7.6%	9.1%	3.8%	5.14	4.74	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	38	200	859	144	65	33	88%	4.7	16.7%	7.6%	9.1%	3.8%	5.14	4.74	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chandler Champlain (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	14.3%	7.4%	3.5%	—	5.14	16.2%	8.7%	236	-0.02	—	—	—
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	87
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	86
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	82
Robert Ellis R 2001 · 4.84 FIP	30	SP	4.84	9.9%	7.7%	2.9%	.287	8.08	9.0%	-2.2%	18	+3.24	4.84	110	82
Caleb Clay R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	27	SP	4.67	9.9%	6.9%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	111	81
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	28	SP	4.07	15.5%	9.1%	2.0%	.306	4.73	9.0%	-1.2%	38	+0.66	4.07	203	79
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	78
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	78
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	78
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	78
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	78
Marco Quevedo R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	28	SP	4.13	9.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.262	4.67	11.9%	6.3%	135	+0.54	4.13	300	78
Jason Forjet R 2016 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	15.9%	5.5%	3.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	197	78
Joe Roa R 2002 · 4.60 FIP	30	SP-	4.60	11.7%	3.7%	3.7%	.278	4.47	15.5%	9.3%	121	-0.13	4.28	258	77
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	76
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	76
Brannon Easterling R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	12.7%	8.2%	2.4%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	334	76
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	76
Tyler Herron R 2016 · 4.40 FIP	29	SP	4.40	13.4%	6.9%	2.9%	.389	4.02	16.4%	7.7%	60	-0.38	4.02	117	76
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	81	15.7%	7.5%	1.44	5.12
Paul Reuschel ('75-'79, 1 WAR*)	2.0	79	16.8%*	7.6%*	1.29*	4.76*
JC Ramírez ('19)	1.4	72	16.4%	8.4%	1.44	4.71
J. C. Ramirez ('13-'19, -0 WAR*)	1.4	72	15.1%*	8.7%*	1.30*	4.83*
Travis Harper ('06)	2.1	69	15.0%	7.5%	1.33	4.94
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Bob Priddy ('62-'71, -1 WAR*)	2.7	77	16.3%*	9.0%*	1.43*	4.80*