Jordan Jones — OGILVIE

Jordan Jones P Akron RubberDucks

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%22.0%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Blue	14	3	37	142	45	9	1	21%	2.7	21.5%	7.9%	13.6%	1.0%	2.17	2.82	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Indians Blue	14	3	37	142	45	9	1	21%	2.7	31.7%	6.3%	25.4%	0.7%	2.17	1.76	—
2021	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	20	20	89	390	82	43	5	100%	4.5	15.6%	13.0%	2.5%	1.8%	4.63	4.40	—
2021	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	20	20	89	390	82	43	5	100%	4.5	21.0%	11.0%	10.0%	1.3%	4.63	3.44	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	53	231	52	27	11	3%	1.7	17.3%	12.9%	4.4%	5.4%	5.40	6.23	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	53	231	52	27	11	3%	1.7	22.5%	11.7%	10.8%	4.8%	5.40	5.35	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	37	0	63	259	63	42	7	0%	1.7	19.7%	17.8%	1.9%	3.6%	2.00	5.65	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	37	0	63	259	63	42	7	0%	1.7	24.3%	16.2%	8.1%	2.7%	2.00	4.54	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	20	1	31	142	33	19	3	5%	1.6	18.8%	14.7%	4.1%	2.6%	5.46	4.82	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	20	1	31	142	33	19	3	5%	1.6	18.8%	14.7%	4.1%	2.6%	5.46	4.82	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	20	1	31	142	33	19	3	5%	1.6	23.2%	13.4%	9.9%	2.1%	5.46	4.06	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	CLE	17	0	18	76	17	8	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	11.0%	11.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.2%	10.7%	3.2%	4.73	4.80	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	CLE	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.2%	10.7%	3.2%	4.73	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.2%	10.7%	3.2%	4.73	4.42	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.2%	10.7%	3.2%	4.73	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		122	25	274	1164	209	159	34	20%	2.2	18.0%	13.7%	4.3%	2.9%	3.94	4.90	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	18	200	849	152	116	25	20%	2.2	18.0%	13.7%	4.3%	2.9%	3.94	4.90	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Jones (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	22.0%	11.0%	3.0%	—	4.80	21.8%	10.7%	20	+0.14	—	—	—
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	79
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	78
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	76
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	75
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	74
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	73
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	73
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	73
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	73
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	72
Alex Powers R 2021 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	25.0%	10.3%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	264	71
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	71
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	71
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	71
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	71
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	70
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	70