Ryan Rolison

P Chicago Cubs

Age 30 LHP 6'2" / 213 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX3 levels	29	5	46	4.47	4.74	18.1%	7.3%	—	K 15.0% · BB 5.0% · FIP 5.17
2025	28	MIX2 levels	51	2	72	5.50	4.85	17.8%	8.8%	-0.3	K 16.4% · BB 8.5% · FIP 4.65
2026	29	MIX2 levels	65	2	70	3.20	3.74	22.5%	11.3%	0.7	K 21.5% · BB 10.5% · FIP 3.96
2027PROJ	30	MLBCHC	69	0	72	5.04	5.20	17.2%	11.7%	-0.5
2028PROJ95% MLB	31	MLBCHC	60	0	63	5.27	5.43	16.5%	12.0%	-0.6
2029PROJ95% MLB	32	MLBCHC	56	0	59	5.52	5.69	15.7%	12.4%	-0.7

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs53

FB Velo52

K%45

Whiff%10

CompsJohn Rheinecker (age 28) · Kelvin Marte (age 29) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA5.04

FIP5.20

K%17.2%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%5.5%

Proj IP72

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD2525

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5294.7

Whiff%

p1019.7%

p4521.5%

xwOBA vs

p530.309

SL (29%)

SI (15%)

CU (16%)

CH (1%)

FB (54%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	9	9	29	109	34	8	2	100%	3.2	21.2%	9.2%	12.0%	2.6%	1.86	3.88	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Grand Junction Rockies	9	9	29	109	34	8	2	100%	3.2	31.2%	7.3%	23.9%	1.8%	1.86	2.48	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	131	562	132	39	22	100%	5.2	18.0%	8.0%	10.0%	3.8%	4.40	4.69	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	131	562	132	39	22	100%	5.2	23.5%	6.9%	16.5%	3.9%	4.40	4.16	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	16	16	72	306	77	21	9	100%	4.5	21.5%	6.9%	14.6%	3.0%	5.27	3.81	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	16	16	72	306	77	21	9	100%	4.5	25.2%	6.9%	18.3%	2.9%	5.27	3.46	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	11	53	9	6	3	100%	2.8	17.0%	11.3%	5.7%	5.7%	9.00	6.21	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	4	11	53	9	6	3	100%	2.8	17.0%	11.3%	5.7%	5.7%	9.00	6.65	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	5	46	193	35	14	8	17%	1.6	15.0%	5.0%	10.0%	4.9%	4.47	5.17	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	5	46	193	35	14	8	17%	1.6	15.0%	5.0%	10.0%	4.9%	4.47	5.17	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	5	46	193	35	14	8	17%	1.6	18.1%	7.3%	10.9%	4.1%	4.47	4.74	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	2	72	320	57	28	12	4%	1.4	16.4%	8.5%	7.9%	3.4%	5.50	4.65	-0.1
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	2	72	320	57	28	12	4%	1.4	16.4%	8.5%	7.9%	3.4%	5.50	4.65	-0.1
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	2	72	320	57	28	12	4%	1.4	17.8%	8.8%	9.1%	3.8%	5.50	4.85	-0.3
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	65	2	70	293	66	33	6	3%	1.1	21.5%	10.5%	10.9%	2.4%	3.20	3.96	+0.5
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	65	2	70	293	66	33	6	3%	1.1	21.5%	10.5%	10.9%	2.4%	3.20	3.96	+0.5
2026	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	65	2	70	293	66	33	6	3%	1.1	22.5%	11.3%	11.3%	2.0%	3.20	3.74	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			91	3	105	449	80	47	17	3%	1.2	17.8%	10.5%	7.3%	3.8%	4.70	5.02	-0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CHC	69	0	72	304	52	36	9	0%	1.0	17.2%	11.7%	5.5%	3.1%	5.04	5.20	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CHC	64	0	67	282	46	34	9	0%	1.0	16.5%	12.0%	4.5%	3.3%	5.27	5.43	-0.6
2029	32	MLB MLE	CHC	59	0	62	261	41	32	9	0%	1.0	15.7%	12.4%	3.3%	3.6%	5.52	5.69	-0.8
2028	31	MLB CTX	CHC	60	0	63	266	44	32	9	0%	1.1	16.5%	12.0%	4.5%	3.3%	5.27	5.43	-0.6
2029	32	MLB CTX	CHC	56	0	59	249	39	31	9	0%	1.1	15.7%	12.4%	3.3%	3.6%	5.52	5.69	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		207	3	227	964	163	110	35	1%	1.1	16.9%	11.4%	5.5%	3.6%	5.07	5.09	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		182	3	200	848	143	97	31	1%	1.1	16.9%	11.4%	5.5%	3.6%	5.07	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		199	63	431	1836	344	150	64	32%	2.2	18.7%	8.2%	10.6%	3.5%	4.49	4.47	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		92	29	200	851	159	70	30	32%	2.2	18.7%	8.2%	10.6%	3.5%	4.49	4.47	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Rolison (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	17.2%	11.7%	3.1%	—	5.55	16.1%	3.9%	128	+0.35	—	—	—
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	78
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	77
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	76
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	74
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	73
Bobby Jones L 2002 · 5.24 FIP	30	SU	5.24	14.3%	12.7%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	321	72
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	70
Tommy Phelps L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	30	SW	4.80	19.4%	8.3%	4.2%	.286	3.98	13.2%	5.7%	23	-0.82	3.39	120	70
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	70
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	69
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	69
Kelly Wunsch L 2002 · 4.60 FIP	30	SU	4.60	15.9%	13.0%	2.2%	.242	3.54	20.8%	8.3%	60	-1.06	3.36	175	68
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	68
Valerio De Los Santos L 2003 · 4.97 FIP	30	SU	4.97	17.1%	11.0%	3.5%	.237	4.47	16.3%	5.7%	34	-0.50	3.40	239	68
Stephen Randolph L 2004 · 5.69 FIP	30	SU	5.69	15.8%	18.8%	2.8%	.252	5.97	28.2%	9.0%	13	+0.28	4.83	155	67
Tom Martin L 2000 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	14.7%	9.1%	2.1%	.274	4.29	21.8%	12.3%	68	+0.12	3.40	303	67
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	66
Eric DuBose L 2005 · 5.45 FIP	29	SW	5.45	12.6%	14.1%	3.0%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	178	66
Aaron Fultz L 2004 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	17.1%	9.7%	2.3%	.294	3.54	18.9%	11.5%	181	-0.62	3.46	480	66
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	61	17.0%	11.6%	1.34	5.07
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ken Patterson ('88-'94, 0 WAR*)	1.6	53	17.7%*	11.7%*	1.46*	4.15*