Dylan File

P Toledo Mud Hens

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2028

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MIX2 levels	21	20	108	5.27	3.92	16.1%	3.9%	—	K 13.1% · BB 4.2% · FIP 4.16
2025	29	MIX2 levels	28	24	130	4.70	3.27	17.8%	6.2%	—	K 14.7% · BB 7.1% · FIP 4.14
2026	30	AAADET	28	27	131	5.28	4.55	18.0%	6.4%	—	K 15.5% · BB 5.7% · FIP 4.86
2027PROJ	31	MLBDET	14	14	83	4.95	4.95	13.4%	5.4%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBDET	5	5	28	4.85	4.83	15.8%	5.2%	0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBDET	6	6	39	4.95	5.04	15.9%	6.0%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff39Control56Command55FB velo40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Delgadillo (age 32) · Zack Segovia (age 32) · Robert Ellis (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%13.4%

BB%5.4%

K-BB%8.0%

Proj IP83

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	12	7	47	205	37	13	7	58%	3.9	12.3%	7.9%	4.3%	4.8%	4.02	5.69	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	12	7	47	205	37	13	7	58%	3.9	18.0%	6.3%	11.7%	3.4%	4.02	4.29	—
2018	22	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	25	25	136	571	114	28	15	100%	5.5	14.8%	5.8%	9.0%	3.4%	3.96	4.42	—
2018	22	A RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	25	25	136	571	114	28	15	100%	5.5	20.0%	4.9%	15.1%	2.6%	3.96	3.47	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	147	600	136	20	9	100%	5.7	17.9%	3.7%	14.2%	1.8%	3.24	3.02	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	147	600	136	20	9	100%	5.7	22.7%	3.3%	19.3%	1.5%	3.24	2.45	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	13	50	225	45	16	8	100%	3.9	17.0%	6.8%	10.3%	4.5%	5.36	5.00	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	13	50	225	45	16	8	100%	3.9	20.0%	7.1%	12.9%	3.6%	5.36	4.33	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	26	19	114	478	95	34	13	73%	4.4	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	3.2%	4.57	4.30	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	26	19	114	478	95	34	13	73%	4.4	19.9%	7.1%	12.8%	2.7%	4.57	3.81	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	108	459	74	18	14	95%	5.1	13.1%	4.2%	8.9%	3.0%	5.27	4.16	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	108	459	74	18	14	95%	5.1	13.1%	4.2%	8.9%	3.0%	5.27	4.16	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	20	108	459	74	18	14	95%	5.1	16.1%	3.9%	12.2%	3.1%	5.27	3.92	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	130	561	100	35	9	86%	4.7	14.7%	7.1%	7.6%	2.5%	4.70	4.14	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	130	561	100	35	9	86%	4.7	14.7%	7.1%	7.6%	2.5%	4.70	4.14	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	24	130	561	100	35	9	86%	4.7	17.8%	6.2%	11.6%	1.6%	4.70	3.27	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	28	27	131	566	102	36	22	96%	4.7	15.5%	5.7%	9.8%	4.3%	5.28	4.86	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	28	27	131	566	102	36	22	96%	4.7	15.5%	5.7%	9.8%	4.3%	5.28	4.86	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	28	27	131	566	102	36	22	96%	4.7	18.0%	6.4%	11.7%	3.9%	5.28	4.55	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	DET	14	14	83	350	47	19	12	100%	5.9	13.4%	5.4%	8.0%	3.5%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	DET	13	13	77	323	51	17	12	100%	5.9	15.8%	5.2%	10.6%	3.7%	4.85	4.83	+0.1
2029	33	MLB MLE	DET	12	12	70	297	47	18	12	100%	5.9	15.9%	6.0%	9.9%	3.9%	4.95	5.04	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	DET	5	5	28	118	19	6	4	100%	5.6	15.8%	5.2%	10.6%	3.7%	4.85	4.83	+0.0
2029	33	MLB CTX	DET	6	6	39	165	26	10	6	100%	6.5	15.9%	6.0%	9.9%	3.9%	4.95	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	67	283	45	16	11	100%	6.1	15.9%	5.6%	10.2%	3.8%	4.91	4.57	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	134	48	33	100%	6.0	15.9%	5.6%	10.2%	3.8%	4.91	4.57	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		179	161	864	3665	570	214	117	90%	4.8	15.5%	5.8%	9.7%	3.2%	4.48	4.28	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		41	37	200	848	132	50	27	90%	4.8	15.5%	5.8%	9.7%	3.2%	4.48	4.28	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan File (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	13.4%	5.4%	3.5%	—	4.93	15.9%	10.3%	147	-0.02	—	—	—
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	85
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	83
Robert Ellis R 2001 · 4.84 FIP	30	SP	4.84	9.9%	7.7%	2.9%	.287	8.08	9.0%	-2.2%	18	+3.24	4.84	110	82
Leo Medrano R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	32	SP	3.76	14.2%	3.9%	2.5%	.354	4.34	11.0%	3.7%	113	+0.58	3.76	222	80
Tyler Herron R 2017 · 4.02 FIP	30	SP	4.02	16.4%	8.7%	2.2%	.377	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	117	76
Mario Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	30	SP	4.53	14.1%	5.0%	3.6%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	368	75
Andres Ivan Meza R 2017 · 4.14 FIP	30	SP	4.14	12.5%	8.5%	1.8%	.351	4.33	11.7%	4.0%	89	+0.19	4.14	275	74
Patrick Johnson R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	30	SP	4.14	15.7%	9.3%	2.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	248	72
Cory Riordan R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	30	SP	4.24	14.3%	5.0%	3.1%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	154	72
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	72
Jose Samayoa R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP	4.05	19.4%	7.0%	3.1%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	262	72
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	72
Matt Buschmann R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	31	SP	4.03	17.2%	8.7%	2.3%	.282	4.84	12.8%	4.4%	142	+0.81	4.03	277	72
Danny Gutierrez R 2017 · 4.11 FIP	30	SP	4.11	15.1%	6.1%	2.8%	.362	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	239	71
Cody Mincey R 2022 · 5.56 FIP	30	SP	5.56	13.9%	8.4%	4.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	147	71
Michael Nix R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	32	SP	3.82	12.4%	8.9%	1.2%	.310	4.60	11.9%	0.3%	115	+0.78	3.82	234	71
Terance Marin R 2019 · 4.22 FIP	29	SP	4.22	12.4%	4.9%	2.8%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	322	71
Kenshin Kawakami R 2009 · 3.97 FIP	34	SP-	3.97	15.7%	7.6%	2.2%	.277	4.06	15.1%	9.5%	87	+0.09	3.97	244	70
Elih Villanueva R 2017 · 5.48 FIP	31	SP	5.48	14.1%	6.0%	5.1%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	225	70
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	77	15.0%	5.5%	1.43	4.92
Minnie Rojas ('66-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.3	87	17.1%*	6.5%*	1.35*	4.07*
Austin Pruitt ('24)	1.6	63	16.6%	5.6%	1.31	4.54
Joe Roa ('04)	1.3	66	13.1%	6.1%	1.32	4.94
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Bob Wells ('02)	3.2	79	15.0%	7.2%	1.43	5.03
Paul Reuschel ('75-'79, 1 WAR*)	2.0	79	16.8%*	7.6%*	1.29*	4.76*