Kyle Tyler
P
Charlotte Knights
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 200 lbs
AAA
ERA4.95
FIP4.65
xFIP4.72
SIERA5.11
K%17.9%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%8.3%
IP102
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†3030
FB Velo
p1090.6
Whiff%
p5526.1%
K%
p1817.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.379
SL (11%)
CU (28%)
FB (14%)
CH (1%)
CT-0.9 (45%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 15 | 0 | 25 | 101 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.11 | 6.59 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 25 | 18 | 122 | 484 | 106 | 39 | 11 | 16.3% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 2.59 | 4.61 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 25 | 14 | 98 | 415 | 98 | 31 | 10 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 3.57 | 3.72 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 21 | 2 | 29 | 127 | 35 | 23 | 4 | 25.7% | 20.4% | 3.9% | 4.91 | 5.67 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 26 | 135 | 619 | 138 | 58 | 15 | 18.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 5.60 | 4.76 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 26 | 23 | 116 | 494 | 105 | 52 | 11 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 4.51 | 4.14 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 28 | 14 | 100 | 448 | 80 | 36 | 12 | 14.4% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 4.68 | 4.27 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 102 | 429 | 43 | 51 | 12 | 10.0% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 5.35 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 99 | 416 | 44 | 48 | 12 | 10.7% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 95 | 402 | 44 | 46 | 12 | 10.9% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 5.52 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 91 | 385 | 42 | 44 | 12 | 10.8% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 5.58 | 5.67 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 87 | 368 | 39 | 42 | 11 | 10.5% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 5.67 | 5.76 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 83 | 350 | 35 | 41 | 11 | 10.0% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 5.79 | 5.88 | -0.7 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 14 | 78 | 329 | 40 | 36 | 11 | 12.0% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 5.73 | 5.70 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 13 | 73 | 308 | 35 | 35 | 11 | 11.2% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 5.81 | 5.86 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 167 | 97 | 625 | 2688 | 480 | 269 | 80 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.49 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 31 | 200 | 861 | 154 | 86 | 26 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.49 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Tyler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.67 | 10.0% | 11.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.64 | 10.8% | -0.7% | 285 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| David Fletcher R 2027 · 5.65 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.65 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.65 | 100 | 83 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.86 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .328 | 4.86 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 82 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2023 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 106 | 79 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 76 |
| Caleb Clay R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.67 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 111 | 74 |
| Colin Bates R 2024 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.57 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 111 | 73 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .353 | 3.35 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.54 | 3.27 | 283 | 73 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.00 | 15.4% | 11.7% | 3.1% | .278 | 5.36 | 18.3% | 7.5% | 102 | +0.36 | 4.13 | 265 | 73 |
| Eddie Gamboa R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 17.4% | 1.2% | .260 | 4.35 | 15.9% | 4.9% | 259 | -0.44 | 2.91 | 385 | 71 |
| Tyler Wilson R 2024 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.49 | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 377 | 71 |
| Dylan Axelrod R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.77 | 14.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .304 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 7.4% | 133 | -0.46 | 4.31 | 251 | 70 |
| Julian Arballo R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.6% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .274 | 4.42 | 13.8% | 0.9% | 40 | -0.06 | 4.42 | 214 | 70 |
| Nick Tepesch R 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.57 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 276 | 70 |
| Warwick Saupold R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 389 | 69 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 68 |
| Brad Allen R 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.86 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 149 | 68 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .261 | 5.17 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.41 | 4.58 | 261 | 68 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2029 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 68 |
| Chris Tillman R 2026 · 6.09 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.09 | 14.2% | 11.5% | 5.0% | .330 | 5.90 | 8.5% | -3.8% | 51 | -0.19 | 4.04 | 489 | 67 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.15 | 13.7% | 9.6% | 3.6% | .287 | 5.33 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 64 | +0.18 | 3.73 | 399 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.