Kyle Tyler
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 155 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 128
ERA5.04
FIP5.66
K%10.0%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%-2.1%
ROS IP155
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 155 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.6
Whiff%
p5526.1%
K%
p1817.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.379
SL (11%)
CU (28%)
FB (14%)
CH (1%)
CT-0.9 (45%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 15 | 0 | 25 | 101 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.11 | 6.59 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 15 | 0 | 25 | 101 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.8% | 5.9% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 5.11 | 4.68 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 18 | 122 | 484 | 106 | 39 | 11 | 72% | 4.9 | 16.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.59 | 4.69 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 18 | 122 | 484 | 106 | 39 | 11 | 72% | 4.9 | 21.9% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 2.3% | 2.59 | 3.49 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 14 | 98 | 415 | 98 | 31 | 10 | 56% | 3.9 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 2.1% | 3.57 | 3.62 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 14 | 98 | 415 | 98 | 31 | 10 | 56% | 3.9 | 23.6% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 3.57 | 3.37 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 2 | 29 | 127 | 35 | 23 | 4 | 10% | 1.4 | 25.7% | 20.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.91 | 5.71 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 2 | 29 | 127 | 35 | 23 | 4 | 10% | 1.4 | 27.6% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 26 | 135 | 619 | 138 | 58 | 15 | 96% | 5.0 | 18.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 5.60 | 5.14 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 26 | 135 | 619 | 138 | 58 | 15 | 96% | 5.0 | 22.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 5.60 | 3.79 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 116 | 494 | 105 | 52 | 11 | 88% | 4.4 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 4.51 | 4.19 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 116 | 494 | 105 | 52 | 11 | 88% | 4.4 | 21.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 2.2% | 4.51 | 3.87 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 14 | 100 | 448 | 80 | 36 | 12 | 50% | 3.6 | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 4.68 | 4.04 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 14 | 100 | 448 | 80 | 36 | 12 | 50% | 3.6 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 4.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 24 | 24 | 155 | 654 | 65 | 79 | 18 | 100% | 6.5 | 10.0% | 12.1% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 22 | 146 | 615 | 65 | 73 | 18 | 100% | 6.6 | 10.5% | 11.9% | -1.4% | 2.9% | 5.39 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 21 | 136 | 574 | 61 | 69 | 18 | 100% | 6.5 | 10.6% | 11.9% | -1.3% | 3.2% | 5.62 | 5.84 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 54 | 228 | 24 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.8 | 10.5% | 11.9% | -1.4% | 2.9% | 5.39 | 5.72 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 12 | 12 | 75 | 317 | 34 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 10.6% | 11.9% | -1.3% | 3.2% | 5.62 | 5.84 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 35 | 27 | 176 | 750 | 90 | 90 | 22 | 77% | 5.0 | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 5.19 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 30 | 200 | 850 | 102 | 102 | 25 | 77% | 5.1 | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 5.19 | +0.5 | ||
| Career | — | 167 | 97 | 625 | 2688 | 480 | 269 | 83 | 58% | 3.7 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.55 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 31 | 200 | 861 | 154 | 86 | 26 | 58% | 3.7 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Tyler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.66 | 10.0% | 12.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.78 | 10.6% | -1.4% | 282 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Colin Bates R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 69 |
| Tyler Wilson R 2024 · 4.68 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.68 | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 377 | 67 |
| Dylan Axelrod R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.75 | 14.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .304 | 4.43 | 13.7% | 7.4% | 133 | -0.32 | 4.43 | 251 | 66 |
| David Fletcher R 2027 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 66 |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 66 |
| Eddie Gamboa R 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.74 | 13.7% | 17.4% | 1.1% | .260 | 4.36 | 15.9% | 4.9% | 259 | -0.38 | 2.92 | 385 | 66 |
| Nick Tepesch R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.38 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 276 | 64 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 63 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2023 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 63 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 62 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 60 |
| Nate Long R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 59 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.47 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 205 | 59 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2029 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 59 |
| Daniel Gossett R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.87 | 17.8% | 12.4% | 3.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 727 | 58 |
| Jason Alexander R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .303 | 4.03 | 18.0% | 10.0% | 335 | -0.56 | 2.08 | 796 | 58 |
| Chris Tillman R 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.12 | 14.2% | 11.5% | 5.0% | .330 | 5.88 | 8.5% | -3.8% | 51 | -0.24 | 3.95 | 489 | 58 |
| Aaron Brooks R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.78 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | .281 | 4.30 | 15.8% | 8.8% | 70 | -0.48 | 3.61 | 879 | 58 |
| David Griffin R 2024 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 57 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 57 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 146 | 10.4% | 12.0% | 1.14 | 5.34 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Mike Pelfrey ('17) | 3 | 135 | 12.3% | 8.5% | 1.14 | 4.99 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |