Kyle Tyler — OGILVIE

Kyle Tyler P Charlotte Knights

Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 155 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.05

FIP5.59

K%10.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%-0.9%

ROS IP155

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 155 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.6

Whiff%

p5526.1%

p1817.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.379

SL (11%)

CU (28%)

FB (14%)

CH (1%)

CT-0.9 (45%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	15	0	25	101	22	6	5	0%	1.6	14.8%	7.4%	7.4%	6.9%	5.11	6.59	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	15	0	25	101	22	6	5	0%	1.6	21.8%	5.9%	15.8%	5.0%	5.11	4.68	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	18	122	484	106	39	11	72%	4.9	16.3%	9.5%	6.8%	3.1%	2.59	4.60	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	18	122	484	106	39	11	72%	4.9	21.9%	8.1%	13.8%	2.3%	2.59	3.49	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	14	98	415	98	31	10	56%	3.9	19.7%	8.0%	11.7%	2.4%	3.57	3.76	+1.3
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	14	98	415	98	31	10	56%	3.9	23.6%	7.5%	16.1%	2.4%	3.57	3.37	+1.8
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	29	127	35	23	4	10%	1.4	25.7%	20.4%	5.3%	3.9%	4.91	5.68	-0.4
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	29	127	35	23	4	10%	1.4	27.6%	18.1%	9.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.84	-0.1
2023	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	27	26	135	619	138	58	15	96%	5.0	18.1%	10.3%	7.8%	3.4%	5.60	4.75	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	27	26	135	619	138	58	15	96%	5.0	22.3%	9.4%	12.9%	2.4%	5.60	3.79	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	116	494	105	52	11	88%	4.4	19.0%	9.8%	9.1%	2.4%	4.51	4.08	+1.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	116	494	105	52	11	88%	4.4	19.0%	9.8%	9.1%	2.4%	4.51	4.08	+1.1
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	116	494	105	52	11	88%	4.4	21.3%	10.5%	10.7%	2.2%	4.51	3.87	+1.4
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	14	100	448	80	36	12	50%	3.6	14.1%	7.5%	6.6%	2.4%	4.68	4.16	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	14	100	448	80	36	12	50%	3.6	14.1%	7.5%	6.6%	2.4%	4.68	4.16	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	14	100	448	80	36	12	50%	3.6	17.9%	8.0%	9.8%	2.7%	4.68	4.14	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	7	48	208	33	25	5	47%	3.2	15.9%	12.0%	3.8%	2.4%	4.31	4.64	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CWS	24	24	155	654	65	71	19	100%	6.5	10.0%	10.9%	-0.9%	2.9%	5.05	5.59	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	22	22	144	610	64	67	19	100%	6.6	10.4%	10.9%	-0.5%	3.1%	5.38	5.69	-1.2
2029	32	MLB MLE	CWS	21	21	134	565	59	62	19	100%	6.4	10.5%	11.1%	-0.6%	3.4%	5.61	5.83	-1.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	8	8	53	224	23	24	7	100%	6.6	10.4%	10.9%	-0.5%	3.1%	5.38	5.69	-0.5
2029	32	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	74	312	33	35	10	100%	6.7	10.5%	11.1%	-0.6%	3.4%	5.61	5.83	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		35	27	175	744	89	84	22	77%	5.0	12.0%	11.3%	0.7%	3.0%	5.18	5.17	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		40	31	200	851	102	96	25	77%	5.0	12.0%	11.3%	0.7%	3.0%	5.18	5.17	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		167	97	625	2688	477	259	80	58%	3.7	17.8%	9.6%	8.1%	3.0%	4.29	4.46	-2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	31	200	861	153	83	26	58%	3.7	17.8%	9.6%	8.1%	3.0%	4.29	4.46	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Tyler (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	10.0%	10.9%	2.9%	—	5.76	10.5%	-0.5%	278	+0.17	—	—	—
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	73
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	70
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	68
Eddie Gamboa R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SP-	4.80	13.7%	17.4%	1.2%	.260	4.36	15.9%	4.9%	259	-0.44	2.92	385	64
Matt Palmer R 2009 · 4.58 FIP	30	SW	4.58	13.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.251	3.72	10.6%	0.5%	49	-0.86	2.98	183	62
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	61
Robert Ellis R 2001 · 4.84 FIP	30	SP	4.84	9.9%	7.7%	2.9%	.287	8.08	9.0%	-2.2%	18	+3.24	4.84	110	60
Nate Long R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	29	SP	4.67	14.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	151	60
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	59
Alex Caldera R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	30	SP	4.54	11.9%	11.1%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	120	58
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	58
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	57
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	57
Tanyon Sturtze R 2001 · 4.69 FIP	30	SP-	4.69	13.1%	9.4%	2.8%	.283	4.79	14.1%	5.1%	391	+0.10	4.33	787	57
Caleb Clay R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	27	SP	4.67	9.9%	6.9%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	111	57
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	56
Dylan Axelrod R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	30	SP-	4.75	14.1%	6.6%	3.6%	.304	4.28	13.7%	7.4%	133	-0.47	2.88	468	56
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	56
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	383	55
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	55

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 497 starter careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	120	10.9%	11.1%	1.17	5.23
Jim Parque ('03)	2.7	109	13.4%	9.7%	1.29	5.42
Jimmy Haynes ('04)	6.0	133	14.1%	11.1%	1.11	5.37
Runelvys Hernandez ('08)	2.3	114	12.1%	9.3%	1.21	5.50
Tyler Green ('98)	1.9	128	15.4%	11.8%	1.10	5.16
Kyle Davies ('15)	3.9	110	15.7%	10.5%	1.16	5.57
Jason Jennings ('09)	5.6	125	14.9%	10.0%	1.09	4.95