Zac Houston

P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 32 RHP 6'5" / 260 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX2 levels	48	0	53	5.47	4.14	35.3%	15.3%	—	K 29.3% · BB 16.4% · FIP 5.13
2023	28	MIX2 levels	37	2	43	4.43	3.17	36.7%	14.1%	—	K 30.9% · BB 13.8% · FIP 3.75
2024	29	AAAPHI	14	0	14	10.29	7.10	26.4%	19.4%	—	K 22.7% · BB 17.5% · FIP 6.79
2027PROJ	32	MLBPHI	8	0	8	4.58	4.58	23.2%	10.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBPHI	7	0	7	4.71	4.81	22.7%	11.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Arcenio Leon (age 32) · Mike Broadway (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%23.2%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.3%

Proj IP8

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	13	0	20	80	30	11	0	0%	1.5	27.7%	16.2%	11.5%	0.0%	0.46	2.81	—
2016	21	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	13	0	20	80	30	11	0	0%	1.5	37.5%	13.8%	23.8%	0.0%	0.46	1.73	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	58	243	91	27	1	0%	1.8	26.9%	12.7%	14.2%	0.8%	2.17	2.87	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	58	243	91	27	1	0%	1.8	37.4%	11.1%	26.3%	0.4%	2.17	1.58	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	216	80	25	3	0%	1.2	31.8%	12.4%	19.4%	1.6%	1.63	2.88	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	55	216	80	25	3	0%	1.2	37.0%	11.6%	25.5%	1.4%	1.63	2.27	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	58	246	68	24	1	2%	1.4	22.9%	10.5%	12.4%	0.5%	4.53	2.77	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	58	246	68	24	1	2%	1.4	27.6%	9.8%	17.9%	0.4%	4.53	2.22	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	10	38	17	3	0	29%	1.4	44.7%	7.9%	36.8%	0.0%	0.93	0.32	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	2	10	38	17	3	0	29%	1.4	44.7%	7.9%	36.8%	0.0%	0.93	0.51	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	53	249	88	38	9	0%	1.1	29.3%	16.4%	12.9%	4.4%	5.47	5.13	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	53	249	88	38	9	0%	1.1	35.3%	15.3%	20.1%	3.6%	5.47	4.14	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	2	43	199	73	28	5	5%	1.2	30.9%	13.8%	17.1%	2.8%	4.43	3.75	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	2	43	199	73	28	5	5%	1.2	36.7%	14.1%	22.6%	2.5%	4.43	3.17	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	14	0	14	72	19	14	4	0%	1.0	22.7%	17.5%	5.2%	6.2%	10.29	6.79	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	14	0	14	72	19	14	4	0%	1.0	22.7%	17.5%	5.2%	6.2%	10.29	6.79	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	14	0	14	72	19	14	4	0%	1.0	26.4%	19.4%	6.9%	5.6%	10.29	7.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	PHI	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	10.9%	12.3%	3.1%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.2%	11.6%	3.3%	4.71	4.81	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.2%	11.6%	3.3%	4.71	4.81	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.2%	11.6%	3.3%	4.71	4.43	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	82	27	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.2%	11.6%	3.3%	4.71	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		237	5	310	1343	380	180	28	2%	1.3	28.3%	13.4%	14.9%	2.1%	3.60	3.54	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	3	200	867	246	116	18	2%	1.3	28.3%	13.4%	14.9%	2.1%	3.60	3.54	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zac Houston (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	23.2%	10.9%	3.1%	—	4.81	22.7%	11.6%	20	+0.23	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	86
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	84
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	80
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	80
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	78
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	76
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	76
James Hoyt R 2019 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.2%	9.9%	1.8%	.355	5.63	22.1%	10.4%	50	+2.18	1.61	312	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	75
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	74
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	73
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	73
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	73
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	72
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	72
Dale Thayer R 2013 · 3.62 FIP	32	SU	3.62	23.7%	7.4%	2.9%	.287	3.85	20.6%	15.0%	103	+0.23	2.75	239	72
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	72
Rafael Martín R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	20.5%	10.7%	3.7%	.265	3.96	21.3%	15.8%	110	-0.78	2.94	227	72