Evan Kravetz

P Louisville Bats

Age 30 LHP 6'8" / 240 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX2 levels	36	2	61	4.60	4.19	25.1%	12.0%	—	K 20.9% · BB 11.5% · FIP 4.59
2024	27	MIX2 levels	49	0	50	3.62	4.89	23.7%	11.6%	-0.2	K 20.5% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.91
2025	28	AAACIN	19	0	19	5.59	6.15	22.6%	12.9%	—	K 19.4% · BB 11.6% · FIP 6.53
2027PROJ	30	MLBCIN	14	0	15	4.87	4.87	21.0%	10.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBCIN	7	0	7	4.93	5.02	20.8%	10.7%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29) · Ryan Buchter (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 126

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%21.0%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB (50%)

CU (25%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	13	57	244	82	24	1	76%	3.3	24.5%	11.5%	13.0%	0.5%	3.49	2.79	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	13	57	244	82	24	1	76%	3.3	33.6%	9.8%	23.8%	0.4%	3.49	1.71	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	8	84	370	103	41	11	29%	3.0	21.7%	12.6%	9.2%	3.5%	4.20	4.80	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	8	84	370	103	41	11	29%	3.0	27.8%	11.1%	16.8%	3.0%	4.20	3.82	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	61	267	67	32	8	6%	1.7	20.9%	11.5%	9.4%	3.3%	4.60	4.59	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	61	267	67	32	8	6%	1.7	25.1%	12.0%	13.1%	3.0%	4.60	4.19	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	50	224	53	26	9	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	4.0%	3.62	4.91	-0.2
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	50	224	53	26	9	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	4.0%	3.62	4.91	-0.2
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	50	224	53	26	9	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.6%	12.1%	4.0%	3.62	4.89	-0.2
2025	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	19	0	19	93	21	12	5	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.6%	7.8%	6.6%	5.59	6.53	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	19	0	19	93	21	12	5	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.6%	7.8%	6.6%	5.59	6.53	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	19	0	19	93	21	12	5	0%	1.0	22.6%	12.9%	9.7%	5.4%	5.59	6.15	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0%	0.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	+0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CIN	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.4%	10.5%	3.3%	4.87	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	3.5%	4.93	5.02	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	CIN	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	3.5%	4.93	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	33	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.0%	9.5%	3.3%	4.52	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	824	150	75	25	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.0%	9.5%	3.3%	4.52	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		149	23	270	1198	260	140	38	15%	1.8	21.7%	11.6%	10.0%	3.2%	4.13	4.50	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	17	200	887	193	103	28	15%	1.8	21.7%	11.6%	10.0%	3.2%	4.13	4.50	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Kravetz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	21.0%	10.4%	3.3%	—	5.02	20.8%	10.1%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	70
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	67
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	65
Tommy Phelps L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	30	SW	4.80	19.4%	8.3%	4.2%	.286	3.98	13.2%	5.7%	23	-0.82	3.39	120	65
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	63
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	63
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	63
Grant Dayton L 2017 · 5.39 FIP	29	SU	5.39	19.6%	10.8%	4.7%	.212	4.52	30.4%	23.8%	66	-0.87	1.63	277	62
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	62
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	62
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	61
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	61
Armando Almanza L 2003 · 4.95 FIP	30	SU	4.95	21.3%	10.0%	4.3%	.331	5.29	24.1%	14.8%	12	+0.34	2.90	211	61
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	61
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	61
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	61
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	60
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	60
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	60
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	60