Jake Reindl — OGILVIE

Jake Reindl P Tennessee Smokies

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%23.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	4	0	5	18	9	2	0	0%	1.2	50.0%	11.1%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 1	4	0	5	18	9	2	0	0%	1.2	50.0%	11.1%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	0.70	—
2021	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	24	0	35	166	45	19	4	0%	1.4	20.1%	13.5%	6.6%	3.2%	5.97	4.88	—
2021	24	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	24	0	35	166	45	19	4	0%	1.4	27.1%	11.4%	15.7%	2.4%	5.97	3.65	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	16	69	27	9	0	0%	1.4	39.1%	13.0%	26.1%	0.0%	1.65	1.45	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	16	69	27	9	0	0%	1.4	39.1%	13.0%	26.1%	0.0%	1.65	1.45	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	6	0	10	37	10	4	0	0%	1.6	27.0%	10.8%	16.2%	0.0%	0.93	2.19	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	6	0	10	37	10	4	0	0%	1.6	27.0%	10.8%	16.2%	0.0%	0.93	2.27	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	20	0	23	116	36	22	1	0%	1.1	25.1%	20.9%	4.3%	1.2%	7.15	4.28	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	20	0	23	116	36	22	1	0%	1.1	25.1%	20.9%	4.3%	1.2%	7.15	4.28	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	20	0	23	116	36	22	1	0%	1.1	31.0%	19.0%	12.1%	0.9%	7.15	3.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CHC	12	0	13	55	13	7	2	0%	1.1	23.8%	12.6%	11.3%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	20	11	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	3.2%	4.77	4.85	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	3.2%	4.77	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	3.2%	4.77	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	3.2%	4.77	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		66	0	88	406	108	62	7	0%	1.3	26.7%	15.2%	11.5%	1.7%	4.58	3.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	0	200	919	246	140	15	0%	1.3	26.7%	15.2%	11.5%	1.7%	4.58	3.68	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Reindl (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	23.8%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.85	23.4%	10.8%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	78
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	78
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	75
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	74
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	73
Cody Hall R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	30	SU	3.92	25.9%	17.5%	1.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	134	73
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	72
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.94	409	72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	71
Chris Smith R 2018 · 3.72 FIP	29	SU	3.72	24.1%	9.3%	2.7%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	199	71
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	70
Steve Geltz R 2017 · 3.57 FIP	29	SU	3.57	22.6%	10.2%	2.0%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	157	70
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	70
Dennis Sarfate R 2009 · 4.81 FIP	28	SU	4.81	19.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	69
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	69