Mitch Miller — OGILVIE

Mitch Miller P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 30 LHP 6'6" / 185 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%22.3%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	34	137	39	15	2	0%	1.4	19.1%	12.7%	6.4%	1.3%	2.88	3.79	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	34	137	39	15	2	0%	1.4	28.5%	10.9%	17.5%	1.5%	2.88	2.90	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	28	2	34	157	41	21	3	7%	1.2	20.1%	15.4%	4.7%	2.0%	7.22	4.44	—
2023	26	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	28	2	34	157	41	21	3	7%	1.2	26.1%	13.4%	12.7%	1.9%	7.22	3.69	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	29	151	37	24	2	4%	1.2	17.1%	19.2%	-2.1%	2.5%	6.91	5.47	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	29	151	37	24	2	4%	1.2	17.1%	19.2%	-2.1%	2.5%	6.91	5.47	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	1	29	151	37	24	2	4%	1.2	24.5%	15.9%	8.6%	1.3%	6.91	3.94	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	SD	11	0	12	51	11	6	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.9%	10.3%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.0%	10.0%	3.2%	4.83	4.91	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	SD	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.0%	10.0%	3.2%	4.83	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	12.0%	10.0%	3.2%	4.83	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.0%	10.0%	3.2%	4.83	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		77	3	97	445	84	70	9	4%	1.3	18.8%	15.8%	2.9%	1.9%	5.59	4.59	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	6	200	921	173	146	18	4%	1.3	18.8%	15.8%	2.9%	1.9%	5.59	4.59	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mitch Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	22.3%	11.9%	3.0%	—	4.91	22.0%	10.0%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	82
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	78
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	77
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	77
Nick Hagadone L 2015 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	22.6%	8.9%	2.4%	.329	3.74	22.6%	13.3%	33	+0.09	2.97	141	75
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	75
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	74
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	74
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	74
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	74
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	73
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	73
Kelly Wunsch L 2002 · 4.60 FIP	30	SU	4.60	15.9%	13.0%	2.2%	.242	3.54	20.8%	8.3%	60	-1.06	3.36	175	72
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	71
Armando Almanza L 2003 · 4.95 FIP	30	SU	4.95	21.3%	10.0%	4.3%	.331	5.29	24.1%	14.8%	12	+0.34	2.90	211	71
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	71
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	70
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	70
Sammy Solís L 2019 · 4.05 FIP	30	SU	4.05	26.2%	8.9%	3.7%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	190	69
James Pazos L 2021 · 4.41 FIP	30	SU	4.41	26.0%	12.0%	3.6%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.55	261	69