Elvis Peguero

P Charlotte Knights

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 238 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX2 levels	63	0	69	3.28	3.36	22.6%	9.5%	1.0	K 21.4% · BB 9.9% · FIP 3.38
2024	27	MIX2 levels	58	0	57	3.49	3.65	20.2%	10.7%	0.6	K 20.7% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.61
2025	28	MIX2 levels	37	1	37	4.66	5.34	19.8%	14.0%	-0.3	K 17.9% · BB 13.0% · FIP 5.06
2027PROJ	30	MLBCWS	58	0	61	4.50	4.66	22.7%	12.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBCWS	20	0	21	4.73	4.89	22.0%	12.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBCWS	28	0	29	4.98	5.14	21.2%	13.1%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control35Command40FB velo60

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.50

FIP4.66

K%22.7%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP61

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5555

SI (50%)

FB-1.4 (50%)

SL-1.6 (50%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	14	9	53	244	43	27	3	64%	3.8	12.0%	13.8%	-1.8%	1.7%	4.39	4.78	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 2	14	9	53	244	43	27	3	64%	3.8	17.6%	11.1%	6.6%	1.2%	4.39	3.74	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	10	6	37	167	21	15	1	60%	3.7	8.6%	11.2%	-2.7%	0.8%	6.87	4.26	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	10	6	37	167	21	15	1	60%	3.7	12.6%	9.0%	3.6%	0.6%	6.87	3.54	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	9	6	32	157	23	17	7	67%	3.5	10.0%	13.5%	-3.6%	6.2%	6.25	7.40	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	9	6	32	157	23	17	7	67%	3.5	14.6%	10.8%	3.8%	4.5%	6.25	6.13	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	0	60	256	72	22	5	0%	1.8	25.0%	9.4%	15.6%	2.6%	4.35	3.63	+0.7
2021	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	34	0	60	256	72	22	5	0%	1.8	28.1%	8.6%	19.5%	2.0%	4.35	2.88	+1.2
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	62	259	62	18	6	0%	1.2	21.6%	7.2%	14.4%	2.4%	3.94	3.49	+0.8
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	62	259	62	18	6	0%	1.2	23.9%	6.9%	17.0%	2.3%	3.94	3.23	+1.0
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	69	283	64	27	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	1.5%	3.28	3.38	+1.0
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	69	283	64	27	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.5%	13.1%	1.8%	3.28	3.36	+1.0
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	57	253	51	27	4	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.6%	10.1%	1.7%	3.49	3.61	+0.6
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	57	253	51	27	4	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.6%	10.1%	1.7%	3.49	3.61	+0.6
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	57	253	51	27	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.7%	9.5%	1.6%	3.49	3.65	+0.6
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	37	172	34	24	6	3%	1.0	17.9%	13.0%	4.9%	3.3%	4.66	5.06	-0.2
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	37	172	34	24	6	3%	1.0	17.9%	13.0%	4.9%	3.3%	4.66	5.06	-0.2
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	1	37	172	34	24	6	3%	1.0	19.8%	14.0%	5.8%	3.5%	4.66	5.34	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			135	1	142	620	121	63	13	1%	1.0	19.5%	10.2%	9.4%	2.1%	4.26	3.92	+1.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CWS	58	0	61	258	59	32	7	0%	1.1	22.7%	12.4%	10.4%	2.8%	4.50	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	54	0	57	241	53	31	7	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.7%	9.2%	3.0%	4.73	4.89	-0.2
2029	32	MLB MLE	CWS	50	0	53	223	47	29	7	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.1%	8.0%	3.3%	4.98	5.14	-0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	20	0	21	89	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.7%	9.2%	3.0%	4.73	4.89	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	CWS	28	0	29	122	26	16	4	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.1%	8.0%	3.3%	4.98	5.14	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		183	1	192	831	166	90	20	1%	1.0	20.0%	10.9%	9.2%	2.4%	4.42	4.08	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	1	200	867	173	94	21	1%	1.0	20.0%	10.9%	9.2%	2.4%	4.42	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		276	22	405	1791	323	194	43	8%	1.5	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.4%	4.40	4.25	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	11	200	884	159	96	21	8%	1.5	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.4%	4.40	4.25	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elvis Peguero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	22.7%	12.4%	2.8%	—	5.01	21.6%	8.7%	110	+0.35	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	82
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	80
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	76
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	76
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	75
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	75
Tyler Yates R 2008 · 3.90 FIP	30	SU	3.90	19.0%	11.2%	1.8%	.293	5.06	16.1%	5.4%	12	+1.16	3.23	248	74
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	73
Arquimedes Caminero R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	29	SU	4.45	17.9%	11.4%	2.6%	.314	4.62	18.6%	7.5%	38	+0.17	3.54	186	73
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	72
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	72
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	1.67	351	72
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.94	409	72
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	72
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	71
Kiko Calero R 2005 · 3.51 FIP	30	SU	3.51	22.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.252	3.23	23.3%	13.9%	99	-0.28	2.27	298	71
Troy Percival R 2000 · 4.46 FIP	30	SU	4.46	22.2%	11.8%	3.2%	.252	3.15	28.2%	18.8%	163	-1.31	2.15	709	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	62	20.9%	11.8%	1.00	4.51
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Rich Loiselle ('01)	1.1	56	17.2%	12.0%	0.88	4.38
Bob Allen ('61-'67, -1 WAR*)	1.4	55	21.4%*	10.4%*	0.89*	4.79*