Mason Fox

P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	24	MIX3 levels	25	1	33	10.53	5.59	27.4%	14.3%	—	K 21.3% · BB 16.5% · FIP 6.72
2022	25	MIX3 levels	38	0	55	5.76	4.23	23.4%	11.7%	—	K 16.1% · BB 13.7% · FIP 5.57
2024	27	AAMIN	11	0	14	2.63	4.78	22.0%	20.3%	—	K 17.8% · BB 22.4% · FIP 5.75
2027PROJ	30	MLBMIN	8	0	8	4.67	4.67	22.6%	11.5%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBMIN	6	0	6	4.75	4.83	22.2%	11.6%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%22.6%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%11.1%

Proj IP8

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	15	0	21	87	28	8	1	0%	1.4	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	1.6%	3.80	3.59	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	15	0	21	87	28	8	1	0%	1.4	32.2%	9.2%	23.0%	1.1%	3.80	2.21	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	14	53	24	6	0	0%	1.2	45.3%	11.3%	34.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.71	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	0	14	53	24	6	0	0%	1.2	45.3%	11.3%	34.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.90	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	1	33	175	48	25	8	4%	1.3	21.3%	16.5%	4.8%	6.1%	10.53	6.72	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	1	33	175	48	25	8	4%	1.3	27.4%	14.3%	13.1%	4.6%	10.53	5.59	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	55	248	58	29	7	0%	1.4	16.1%	13.7%	2.4%	3.8%	5.76	5.57	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	55	248	58	29	7	0%	1.4	23.4%	11.7%	11.7%	2.8%	5.76	4.23	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	11	0	14	59	13	12	1	0%	1.2	17.8%	22.4%	-4.5%	2.4%	2.63	5.75	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	11	0	14	59	13	12	1	0%	1.2	17.8%	22.4%	-4.5%	2.4%	2.63	5.75	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	11	0	14	59	13	12	1	0%	1.2	22.0%	20.3%	1.7%	1.7%	2.63	4.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	MIN	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	11.5%	11.1%	3.0%	4.67	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.2%	11.6%	10.7%	3.2%	4.75	4.83	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIN	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.6%	10.7%	3.2%	4.75	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.6%	10.7%	3.2%	4.75	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	22.2%	11.6%	10.7%	3.2%	4.75	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		100	1	137	622	131	92	23	1%	1.4	21.0%	14.8%	6.2%	3.7%	5.73	5.22	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	1	200	910	191	135	33	1%	1.4	21.0%	14.8%	6.2%	3.7%	5.73	5.22	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Fox (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	22.6%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.83	22.2%	10.7%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	81
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	78
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	77
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	76
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	73
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	73
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	73
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	72
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	72
Jeremy Fikac R 2004 · 4.91 FIP	29	SU	4.91	19.6%	8.0%	4.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	136	72
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	72
Scott Dohmann R 2008 · 4.38 FIP	30	SU	4.38	18.2%	9.1%	3.0%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.28	173	71
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	71
Greg Burke R 2013 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	17.9%	8.3%	1.9%	.357	3.61	22.1%	14.8%	62	-0.09	3.61	139	71