Sheldon Reed — OGILVIE

Sheldon Reed P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%22.2%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	0	14	62	19	7	2	0%	1.4	30.6%	11.3%	19.4%	3.2%	1.93	3.71	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	0	14	62	19	7	2	0%	1.4	30.6%	11.3%	19.4%	3.2%	1.93	3.74	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	39	167	60	16	2	0%	1.2	22.4%	12.7%	9.8%	2.1%	3.96	3.96	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	39	167	60	16	2	0%	1.2	35.9%	9.6%	26.3%	1.2%	3.96	1.91	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	40	0	53	218	63	24	4	0%	1.3	22.3%	12.7%	9.6%	1.9%	3.38	3.88	—
2023	26	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	40	0	53	218	63	24	4	0%	1.3	28.9%	11.0%	17.9%	1.8%	3.38	3.06	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	25	130	27	20	6	0%	1.4	15.6%	15.9%	-0.3%	6.7%	8.17	7.48	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	25	130	27	20	6	0%	1.4	15.6%	15.9%	-0.3%	6.7%	8.17	7.48	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	25	130	27	20	6	0%	1.4	20.8%	15.4%	5.4%	4.6%	8.17	6.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	MIN	10	0	11	46	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.9%	11.3%	3.0%	4.66	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.0%	10.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.83	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIN	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.0%	10.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.0%	10.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.45	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.0%	10.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.45	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		101	0	131	577	125	76	18	0%	1.3	21.7%	13.2%	8.5%	3.2%	4.32	4.70	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	0	200	879	191	116	28	0%	1.3	21.7%	13.2%	8.5%	3.2%	4.32	4.70	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sheldon Reed (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	22.2%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.83	21.9%	10.8%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	87
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	85
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	79
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	78
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	77
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	75
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	75
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	74
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	73
Jeremy Fikac R 2004 · 4.91 FIP	29	SU	4.91	19.6%	8.0%	4.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	136	73
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	73
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	73
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	73
Greg Burke R 2013 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	17.9%	8.3%	1.9%	.357	3.61	22.1%	14.8%	62	-0.09	3.61	139	73
Kiko Calero R 2005 · 3.51 FIP	30	SU	3.51	22.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.252	3.23	23.3%	13.9%	99	-0.28	2.27	298	73
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	72