Luke Westphal

P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 38 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	33	AAASD	29	14	69	4.19	4.08	27.5%	12.8%	—	K 24.2% · BB 13.4% · FIP 4.35
2024	35	AAASD	13	3	26	7.27	5.48	18.3%	18.3%	—	K 15.7% · BB 16.4% · FIP 5.19
2027PROJ	38	MLBSD	12	0	13	4.82	4.82	20.5%	11.4%	-0.0
2028PROJ0% MLB	39	MLBSD	—	—	0	5.02	5.18	20.0%	11.9%	—

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsHisanori Takahashi (age 37) · Juan Antonio Pena (age 37) · Logan Duran (age 37)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 125

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%20.5%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%9.1%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	17	95	398	81	32	0	59%	3.3	15.5%	9.3%	6.1%	0.0%	2.74	2.97	—
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	17	95	398	81	32	0	59%	3.3	20.4%	8.0%	12.3%	0.0%	2.74	2.41	—
2016	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	55	257	69	45	4	3%	1.6	21.2%	19.7%	1.6%	1.6%	4.61	4.69	—
2016	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	55	257	69	45	4	3%	1.6	26.8%	17.5%	9.3%	1.6%	4.61	4.00	—
2021	32	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	18	10	49	225	58	28	8	56%	2.7	22.7%	13.1%	9.6%	3.4%	5.84	4.70	—
2021	32	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	18	10	49	225	58	28	8	56%	2.7	25.8%	12.4%	13.3%	3.6%	5.84	4.56	—
2022	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	29	14	69	298	82	38	9	48%	2.4	24.2%	13.4%	10.8%	2.9%	4.19	4.35	—
2022	33	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	29	14	69	298	82	38	9	48%	2.4	27.5%	12.8%	14.8%	3.0%	4.19	4.08	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	13	3	26	126	23	23	3	23%	2.0	15.7%	16.4%	-0.7%	2.4%	7.27	5.19	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	13	3	26	126	23	23	3	23%	2.0	15.7%	16.4%	-0.7%	2.4%	7.27	5.19	—
2024	35	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	13	3	26	126	23	23	3	23%	2.0	18.3%	18.3%	0.0%	2.4%	7.27	5.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	38	MLB	SD	12	0	13	55	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	39	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	17	10	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	11.9%	8.1%	3.4%	5.02	5.18	-0.1
2028	39	MLB CTX	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.0%	11.9%	8.1%	3.4%	5.02	5.18	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	MLE		124	45	294	1304	259	178	24	36%	2.4	19.9%	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	4.35	4.14	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	31	200	887	176	121	16	36%	2.4	19.9%	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	4.35	4.14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luke Westphal (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	20.5%	11.4%	3.0%	—	5.18	20.0%	8.1%	20	+0.36	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	47
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	44
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	32
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	30
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	29
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	29
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	29
Jorge Castillo L 2019 · 4.91 FIP	37	SP	4.91	19.6%	8.1%	4.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	408	27
Billy Taylor R 2000 · 4.53 FIP	38	SU	4.53	21.0%	11.3%	3.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	323	26
Oscar Rivera L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	36	SP	5.80	9.8%	7.8%	4.6%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	237	24
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	24
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	23
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	23
Seunghwan Oh R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	37	SU	5.75	18.2%	6.8%	6.0%	.383	—	—	—	—	—	1.87	226	19
Mauricio Lara L 2017 · 3.70 FIP	38	SP	3.70	12.0%	6.3%	1.5%	.301	4.96	12.3%	5.5%	111	+1.26	3.62	444	13
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	5
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	3
Jose Oyervides R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	37	SP	5.66	16.3%	11.2%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	407	3
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	0
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	0