Enoli Paredes

P Norfolk Tides

Age 31 RHP 5'11" / 171 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MIX3 levels	45	1	53	1.86	2.18	30.0%	10.3%	1.5	K 26.8% · BB 10.4% · FIP 2.15
2025	29	AAAATL	46	0	57	4.40	3.07	27.6%	11.5%	—	K 23.7% · BB 10.3% · FIP 3.37
2026	30	AAABAL	35	1	41	6.10	5.33	20.2%	16.0%	—	K 17.4% · BB 14.4% · FIP 5.38
2027PROJ	31	MLBBAL	50	0	52	4.53	4.64	22.7%	12.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBBAL	17	0	18	4.71	4.86	21.9%	12.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBBAL	23	0	24	4.93	5.10	21.2%	12.3%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.5 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

Whiff%69

FB Velo41

xwOBA vs39

K%24

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31) · Dustin Molleken (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.53

FIP4.64

K%22.7%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%10.7%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4193.9

Whiff%

p6928.2%

p2418.4%

xwOBA vs

p390.324

SL+3.1 (38%)

FB+1.7 (62%)

SI (22%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	20	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	12	3	34	146	46	19	0	25%	2.8	21.4%	16.3%	5.2%	0.0%	3.74	3.35	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	12	3	34	146	46	19	0	25%	2.8	31.5%	13.0%	18.5%	0.0%	3.74	2.06	—
2017	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	6	38	143	33	13	3	75%	4.8	17.1%	10.7%	6.3%	2.4%	2.11	4.31	—
2017	21	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	6	38	143	33	13	3	75%	4.8	23.1%	9.1%	14.0%	2.1%	2.11	3.41	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	5	69	277	90	29	1	21%	2.9	24.2%	12.3%	11.9%	0.5%	1.43	2.87	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	5	69	277	90	29	1	21%	2.9	32.5%	10.5%	22.0%	0.4%	1.43	1.94	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	12	94	374	128	42	4	55%	4.3	27.1%	12.6%	14.5%	1.3%	2.78	3.15	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	12	94	374	128	42	4	55%	4.3	34.2%	11.2%	23.0%	1.1%	2.78	2.27	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	22	0	21	90	20	11	1	0%	0.9	22.2%	12.2%	10.0%	1.1%	3.05	3.40	+0.3
2020	24	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	22	0	21	90	20	11	1	0%	0.9	22.2%	12.2%	10.0%	1.1%	3.05	3.39	+0.3
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	41	198	62	38	7	0%	1.0	26.5%	20.8%	5.7%	4.5%	4.17	5.96	-0.7
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	41	198	62	38	7	0%	1.0	31.3%	19.2%	12.1%	3.5%	4.17	5.08	-0.3
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	58	244	83	32	4	0%	1.1	31.0%	13.2%	17.8%	2.1%	2.65	3.30	+0.9
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	58	244	83	32	4	0%	1.1	34.0%	13.1%	20.9%	1.6%	2.65	2.79	+1.2
2023	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	52	0	54	242	66	45	6	0%	1.0	23.5%	16.7%	6.7%	3.0%	4.80	4.91	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	52	0	54	242	66	45	6	0%	1.0	27.3%	18.6%	8.7%	2.5%	4.80	4.59	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	1	53	213	64	22	1	2%	1.2	26.8%	10.4%	16.4%	0.0%	1.86	2.15	+1.5
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	1	53	213	64	22	1	2%	1.2	26.8%	10.4%	16.4%	0.0%	1.86	2.15	+1.5
2024	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	1	53	213	64	22	1	2%	1.2	30.0%	10.3%	19.7%	0.5%	1.86	2.18	+1.5
2025	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	261	72	30	4	0%	1.2	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	1.8%	4.40	3.37	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	261	72	30	4	0%	1.2	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	1.8%	4.40	3.37	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	261	72	30	4	0%	1.2	27.6%	11.5%	16.1%	1.5%	4.40	3.07	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	35	1	41	188	38	30	6	3%	1.2	17.4%	14.4%	3.0%	3.5%	6.10	5.38	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	35	1	41	188	38	30	6	3%	1.2	17.4%	14.4%	3.0%	3.5%	6.10	5.38	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	35	1	41	188	38	30	6	3%	1.2	20.2%	16.0%	4.3%	3.2%	6.10	5.33	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			55	0	54	244	53	41	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	16.8%	4.9%	0.4%	3.00	3.66	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	BAL	50	0	52	220	50	26	6	0%	1.0	22.7%	12.0%	10.7%	2.8%	4.53	4.64	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	BAL	46	0	48	204	45	25	6	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.1%	9.8%	3.1%	4.71	4.86	-0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	BAL	42	0	44	187	40	23	6	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.3%	8.9%	3.4%	4.93	5.10	-0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	BAL	17	0	18	76	17	9	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.1%	9.8%	3.1%	4.71	4.86	-0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	BAL	23	0	24	101	21	12	3	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.3%	8.9%	3.4%	4.93	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		95	0	96	422	91	63	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	14.9%	6.8%	1.6%	3.81	4.04	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		198	0	200	878	189	131	15	0%	1.0	21.6%	14.9%	6.8%	1.6%	3.81	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		361	28	561	2376	581	322	43	8%	1.6	24.4%	13.5%	10.9%	1.8%	3.24	3.75	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	10	200	848	207	115	15	8%	1.6	24.4%	13.5%	10.9%	1.8%	3.24	3.75	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enoli Paredes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	22.7%	12.0%	2.8%	—	4.97	21.6%	9.4%	93	+0.33	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	88
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	86
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	85
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	85
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	82
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	78
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	78
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	77
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	77
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	74
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	74
Grant Balfour R 2009 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	23.9%	11.4%	2.1%	.293	3.20	24.8%	16.8%	192	-0.47	2.04	533	73
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	73
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	73
Kerry Ligtenberg R 2002 · 4.09 FIP	31	SU	4.09	18.1%	10.7%	2.1%	.237	3.86	18.8%	13.2%	114	-0.23	2.94	381	73
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	40	21.9%	13.4%	0.90	4.25
Chad Fox ('09)	1.1	57	25.8%	13.2%	0.87	3.79
Tim Collins ('19)	1.2	48	23.3%	13.0%	0.89	3.60
Scott Sauerbeck ('06)	1.9	55	22.7%	14.2%	0.72	3.82
Ray Searage ('81-'90, 4 WAR*)	1.4	41	21.0%*	10.8%*	0.84*	3.70*
Marshall Bridges ('59-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	49	26.7%*	12.3%*	0.88*	4.15*
Dave Geisel ('78-'85, 2 WAR*)	1.0	42	23.5%*	10.6%*	0.84*	4.12*