Andrew Bechtold

P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MIX2 levels	33	33	6.21	3.76	20.0%	12.5%	—	K 16.0% · BB 10.8% · FIP 3.56
2025	29	MIX2 levels	41	42	5.57	3.77	29.7%	11.3%	—	K 24.8% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.00
2026	30	MIX3 levels	21	23	6.94	5.59	16.4%	12.7%	—	K 12.7% · BB 12.3% · FIP 5.64
2027PROJ	31	MLBPHI	13	14	5.04	5.04	18.4%	11.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBPHI	7	7	5.23	5.32	18.4%	11.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMiguel Mejia (age 31) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Neil Wagner (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%18.4%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%6.9%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	23	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2019	23	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	20	0	18	95	16	24	1	0%	0.9	14.5%	22.7%	-8.3%	1.1%	11.00	5.39	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	20	0	18	95	16	24	1	0%	0.9	16.8%	25.3%	-8.4%	1.1%	11.00	6.04	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	33	160	32	20	2	0%	1.0	16.0%	10.8%	5.1%	0.8%	6.21	3.56	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	33	160	32	20	2	0%	1.0	16.0%	10.8%	5.1%	0.8%	6.21	3.56	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	33	160	32	20	2	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%	1.2%	6.21	3.76	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	42	195	58	22	6	0%	1.0	24.8%	12.1%	12.7%	2.7%	5.57	4.00	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	42	195	58	22	6	0%	1.0	24.8%	12.1%	12.7%	2.7%	5.57	4.00	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	42	195	58	22	6	0%	1.0	29.7%	11.3%	18.5%	3.1%	5.57	3.77	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	23	110	18	14	4	0%	1.1	12.7%	12.3%	0.4%	3.8%	6.94	5.64	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	23	110	18	14	4	0%	1.1	12.7%	12.3%	0.4%	3.8%	6.94	5.64	—
2026	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	0	23	110	18	14	4	0%	1.1	16.4%	12.7%	3.6%	3.6%	6.94	5.59	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	PHI	13	0	14	59	11	7	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	11.5%	6.9%	3.0%	5.04	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	16	10	3	0%	1.1	18.4%	11.7%	6.8%	3.3%	5.10	5.19	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.4%	11.7%	6.8%	3.5%	5.23	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	18.4%	11.7%	6.8%	3.5%	5.23	4.94	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	18.4%	11.7%	6.8%	3.5%	5.23	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		116	0	118	563	103	76	12	0%	1.0	18.2%	13.5%	4.7%	2.1%	6.81	4.41	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		197	0	200	957	174	129	20	0%	1.0	18.2%	13.5%	4.7%	2.1%	6.81	4.41	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Bechtold (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	18.4%	11.5%	3.0%	—	5.19	18.4%	6.8%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	86
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	83
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	80
Luis Angel Daniel R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	31	SU	4.56	13.4%	8.9%	2.7%	.286	4.16	9.8%	0.3%	53	-0.40	4.16	156	80
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	78
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	78
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	78
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	77
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	77
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	77
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	76
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	75
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	75
Evan Meek R 2014 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.0%	9.3%	2.5%	.295	3.13	17.8%	8.1%	38	-1.28	3.13	234	75
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	75
Fredy Quintero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	31	SU	4.62	17.2%	13.7%	2.2%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	241	75
Rodney Myers R 2001 · 4.70 FIP	32	SU	4.70	13.7%	9.5%	2.8%	.301	3.98	10.9%	1.0%	21	-0.72	3.98	218	74
Fernando Villalobos R 2016 · 4.00 FIP	31	SU	4.00	12.3%	8.6%	1.6%	.305	4.70	10.6%	2.6%	55	+0.70	4.00	152	74