Ryder Ryan

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 32 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	29	MIX2 levels	47	0	62	4.96	4.72	19.0%	8.9%	-0.1	K 17.2% · BB 8.4% · FIP 5.13
2025	30	AAAPIT	42	3	72	4.73	3.71	19.7%	12.3%	—	K 17.0% · BB 11.1% · FIP 3.92
2026	31	AAALAD	26	11	76	5.19	4.58	17.4%	9.9%	—	K 14.9% · BB 8.9% · FIP 4.77
2027PROJ	32	MLBLAD	58	0	61	4.96	5.19	14.9%	10.8%	-0.4
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBLAD	19	0	20	5.18	5.39	14.9%	11.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBLAD	15	0	16	5.41	5.61	14.6%	11.4%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo44

Whiff%37

K%23

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAngel Castro (age 32) · Rudy Gonzalez (age 34) · Fernando Villalobos (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA4.96

FIP5.19

K%14.9%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%4.1%

Proj IP61

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4494.1

Whiff%

p3723.5%

p2318.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.360

FB (56%)

SI (42%)

SL-2.0 (44%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	15	0	19	85	24	9	1	0%	1.2	19.2%	13.2%	6.0%	1.6%	3.86	4.06	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	15	0	19	85	24	9	1	0%	1.2	28.2%	10.6%	17.6%	1.2%	3.86	2.67	—
2017	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	41	0	54	239	62	21	5	0%	1.3	19.2%	10.4%	8.8%	2.7%	4.14	4.29	—
2017	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	41	0	54	239	62	21	5	0%	1.3	25.9%	8.8%	17.2%	2.1%	4.14	3.17	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	53	214	59	15	5	0%	1.3	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	2.8%	3.23	3.76	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	53	214	59	15	5	0%	1.3	27.6%	7.0%	20.6%	2.3%	3.23	2.95	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	25	2	44	184	40	23	2	8%	1.8	17.6%	13.8%	3.9%	1.3%	3.05	4.06	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	25	2	44	184	40	23	2	8%	1.8	21.7%	12.5%	9.2%	1.1%	3.05	3.44	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	38	0	45	207	55	19	7	0%	1.2	23.4%	9.6%	13.7%	3.9%	5.60	4.48	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	38	0	45	207	55	19	7	0%	1.2	26.6%	9.2%	17.4%	3.4%	5.60	3.94	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	47	0	59	260	67	29	7	0%	1.3	22.7%	11.7%	11.0%	3.1%	3.64	4.37	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	47	0	59	260	67	29	7	0%	1.3	25.8%	11.2%	14.6%	2.7%	3.64	3.84	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	56	234	58	22	4	2%	1.1	20.9%	8.2%	12.7%	1.7%	3.70	3.28	+0.8
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	56	234	58	22	4	2%	1.1	24.8%	9.4%	15.4%	1.7%	3.70	3.14	+0.9
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	269	51	24	10	0%	1.3	17.2%	8.4%	8.8%	4.4%	4.96	5.13	-0.4
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	269	51	24	10	0%	1.3	17.2%	8.4%	8.8%	4.4%	4.96	5.13	-0.4
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	62	269	51	24	10	0%	1.3	19.0%	8.9%	10.0%	3.7%	4.96	4.72	-0.1
2025	30	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	42	3	72	309	61	38	4	7%	1.7	17.0%	11.1%	5.9%	1.6%	4.73	3.92	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	42	3	72	309	61	38	4	7%	1.7	17.0%	11.1%	5.9%	1.6%	4.73	3.92	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	42	3	72	309	61	38	4	7%	1.7	19.7%	12.3%	7.4%	1.3%	4.73	3.71	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	26	11	76	334	58	33	10	42%	2.9	14.9%	8.9%	6.0%	3.3%	5.19	4.77	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	26	11	76	334	58	33	10	42%	2.9	14.9%	8.9%	6.0%	3.3%	5.19	4.77	—
2026	31	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Comets	26	11	76	334	58	33	10	42%	2.9	17.4%	9.9%	7.5%	3.0%	5.19	4.58	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	22	97	19	10	2	0%	1.4	19.6%	10.3%	9.3%	2.1%	5.40	3.93	+0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	LAD	58	0	61	258	38	28	8	0%	1.1	14.9%	10.8%	4.1%	2.9%	4.96	5.19	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAD	53	0	56	235	35	26	8	0%	1.1	14.9%	11.1%	3.8%	3.2%	5.18	5.39	-0.5
2029	34	MLB MLE	LAD	48	0	51	214	31	24	7	0%	1.1	14.6%	11.4%	3.2%	3.5%	5.41	5.61	-0.6
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAD	19	0	20	84	13	9	3	0%	1.1	14.9%	11.1%	3.8%	3.2%	5.18	5.39	-0.2
2029	34	MLB CTX	LAD	15	0	16	68	10	8	2	0%	1.1	14.6%	11.4%	3.2%	3.5%	5.41	5.61	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	59	253	42	27	7	0%	1.1	16.6%	10.9%	5.8%	2.9%	5.33	4.64	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		175	0	200	863	144	92	24	0%	1.1	16.6%	10.9%	5.8%	2.9%	5.33	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		372	17	541	2335	446	234	64	5%	1.5	19.1%	10.0%	9.1%	2.7%	4.29	4.26	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	6	200	863	165	87	24	5%	1.5	19.1%	10.0%	9.1%	2.7%	4.29	4.26	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryder Ryan (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	14.9%	10.8%	2.9%	—	5.49	14.8%	3.5%	106	+0.30	—	—	—
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	77
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	75
Fernando Villalobos R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	32	SU	4.70	10.6%	8.0%	2.7%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	152	75
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	75
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	73
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	73
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	73
Rodney Myers R 2001 · 4.70 FIP	32	SU	4.70	13.7%	9.5%	2.8%	.301	3.98	10.9%	1.0%	21	-0.72	3.98	218	72
Luis Angel Daniel R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	32	SU	4.16	9.8%	9.5%	1.2%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	156	72
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	72
Jeff Gray R 2012 · 5.43 FIP	30	SU	5.43	11.0%	9.3%	3.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	127	71
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	71
Jim Henderson R 2015 · 5.27 FIP	32	SU	5.27	16.7%	11.9%	3.8%	.307	4.55	25.8%	16.8%	35	-0.72	1.86	167	71
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	70
Aquilino López R 2007 · 4.77 FIP	32	SU	4.77	9.2%	7.9%	2.6%	.262	3.70	17.7%	12.5%	79	-1.07	3.10	207	69
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	69
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	68
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	68
Fredy Quintero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	31	SU	4.62	17.2%	13.7%	2.2%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	241	68
A.J. Schugel R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	32	SU	4.82	16.6%	12.3%	2.9%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	299	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	47	15.4%	11.0%	1.19	5.20
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*