Génesis Cabrera

P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 30 LHP 6'2" / 180 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MLBTOR	69	63	3.59	4.78	18.5%	9.2%	-0.2
2025	28	MIX2 levels	48	52	6.79	6.04	21.2%	9.7%	-0.9	K 18.7% · BB 9.1% · FIP 6.18
2026	29	AAAKC	32	36	8.17	4.67	22.6%	13.6%	—	K 19.4% · BB 12.2% · FIP 4.71
2027PROJ	30	MLBKC	58	61	4.94	5.11	21.0%	10.9%	-0.4
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBKC	20	21	5.18	5.34	20.2%	11.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBKC	28	29	5.43	5.60	19.4%	11.7%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

FB Velo67

Whiff%62

xwOBA vs32

K%26

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29) · Tommy Phelps (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 127

ERA4.94

FIP5.11

K%21.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP61

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6795.7

Whiff%

p6227.1%

p2618.7%

xwOBA vs

p320.333

SL+1.2 (20%)

SI (25%)

CU (19%)

FB-7.0 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	5	2	17	69	19	4	0	40%	3.4	18.7%	7.2%	11.5%	0.0%	3.18	2.44	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	Princeton Rays	5	2	17	69	19	4	0	40%	3.4	27.5%	5.8%	21.7%	0.0%	3.18	1.57	—
2016	19	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	23	22	116	489	96	48	9	96%	5.0	14.5%	11.6%	2.9%	2.3%	3.88	4.62	—
2016	19	A RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	23	22	116	489	96	48	9	96%	5.0	19.6%	9.8%	9.8%	1.8%	3.88	3.69	—
2017	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	134	569	111	52	9	96%	5.4	15.4%	10.3%	5.1%	2.0%	3.22	4.19	—
2017	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	134	569	111	52	9	96%	5.4	19.5%	9.1%	10.4%	1.6%	3.22	3.48	—
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	140	588	148	71	14	93%	5.2	20.2%	13.3%	7.0%	2.4%	4.17	4.38	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	140	588	148	71	14	93%	5.2	25.2%	12.1%	13.1%	2.4%	4.17	3.81	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	20	119	533	125	50	22	61%	3.6	21.1%	9.7%	11.3%	4.6%	5.73	5.08	-0.3
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	20	119	533	125	50	22	61%	3.6	23.5%	9.4%	14.1%	4.1%	5.73	4.66	+0.3
2020	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	19	0	22	96	32	16	3	0%	1.2	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	3.4%	2.42	4.24	+0.1
2020	23	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	19	0	22	96	32	16	3	0%	1.2	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	3.1%	2.42	4.13	+0.1
2021	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	71	0	70	296	77	34	3	0%	1.0	26.0%	11.5%	14.5%	1.1%	3.73	2.96	+1.3
2021	24	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	71	0	70	296	77	34	3	0%	1.0	26.0%	11.5%	14.5%	1.0%	3.73	2.91	+1.4
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	58	252	47	21	9	0%	1.2	17.9%	8.4%	9.5%	3.8%	5.31	4.75	-0.1
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	58	252	47	21	9	0%	1.2	18.7%	8.3%	10.3%	3.6%	5.31	4.59	-0.0
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	59	252	58	23	8	0%	0.9	24.3%	8.8%	15.5%	3.3%	3.81	4.00	+0.4
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	59	252	58	23	8	0%	0.9	23.0%	9.1%	13.9%	3.2%	3.81	4.07	+0.3
2024	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	69	0	63	271	50	25	10	0%	0.9	18.5%	9.2%	9.2%	3.7%	3.59	4.74	-0.1
2024	27	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	69	0	63	271	50	25	10	0%	0.9	18.5%	9.2%	9.2%	3.7%	3.59	4.74	-0.1
2024	27	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	69	0	63	271	50	25	10	0%	0.9	18.5%	9.2%	9.2%	3.7%	3.59	4.78	-0.2
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	52	226	48	22	14	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.1%	9.6%	6.4%	6.79	6.18	-1.0
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	52	226	48	22	14	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.1%	9.6%	6.4%	6.79	6.18	-1.0
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	52	226	48	22	14	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	6.2%	6.79	6.04	-0.9
2026	29	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	32	0	36	177	40	24	5	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.1%	8.17	4.71	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	32	0	36	177	40	24	5	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.1%	8.17	4.71	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	32	0	36	177	40	24	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	13.6%	9.0%	2.8%	8.17	4.67	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			312	2	318	1382	303	141	46	1%	1.0	21.9%	10.2%	11.7%	3.3%	4.24	4.40	+0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	KC	58	0	61	258	54	28	9	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.9%	10.1%	3.7%	4.94	5.11	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	KC	54	0	57	239	48	27	9	0%	1.0	20.2%	11.3%	9.0%	3.9%	5.18	5.34	-0.5
2029	32	MLB MLE	KC	50	0	52	221	43	26	9	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.7%	7.8%	4.2%	5.43	5.60	-0.6
2028	31	MLB CTX	KC	20	0	21	89	18	10	3	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.3%	9.0%	3.9%	5.18	5.34	-0.2
2029	32	MLB CTX	KC	28	0	29	122	24	14	5	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.7%	7.8%	4.2%	5.43	5.60	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		359	2	368	1592	344	165	55	1%	1.0	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	3.4%	4.39	4.47	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	1	200	865	187	90	30	1%	1.0	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	3.4%	4.39	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		465	93	887	3818	745	410	116	20%	1.9	19.5%	10.8%	8.8%	3.0%	4.43	4.48	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	21	200	861	168	93	26	20%	1.9	19.5%	10.8%	8.8%	3.0%	4.43	4.48	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Génesis Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	21.0%	10.9%	3.7%	—	5.46	19.9%	8.4%	109	+0.35	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	77
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	77
Tommy Phelps L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	30	SW	4.80	19.4%	8.3%	4.2%	.286	3.98	13.2%	5.7%	23	-0.82	3.39	120	71
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	71
Armando Almanza L 2003 · 4.95 FIP	30	SU	4.95	21.3%	10.0%	4.3%	.331	5.29	24.1%	14.8%	12	+0.34	2.90	211	71
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	68
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	68
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	68
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	68
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	67
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	67
Valerio De Los Santos L 2003 · 4.97 FIP	30	SU	4.97	17.1%	11.0%	3.5%	.237	4.47	16.3%	5.7%	34	-0.50	3.40	239	66
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	66
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	65
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	64
Aaron Fultz L 2004 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	17.1%	9.7%	2.3%	.294	3.54	18.9%	11.5%	181	-0.62	3.46	480	64
Chad Bell L 2018 · 4.38 FIP	29	SU	4.38	18.8%	7.4%	3.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	393	64
Bobby Jones L 2002 · 5.24 FIP	30	SU	5.24	14.3%	12.7%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	321	64
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	64
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	49	21.3%	11.2%	1.37	4.56
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.6	51	21.6%	10.5%	1.24	4.71
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43
Luis Vizcaino ('09)	2.7	68	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.33
Ken Patterson ('88-'94, 0 WAR*)	1.6	53	17.7%*	11.7%*	1.46*	4.15*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*