Zach Pop

P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX2 levels	69	0	60	4.80	4.55	17.4%	7.7%	0.0	K 16.7% · BB 7.5% · FIP 4.55
2025	28	MIX3 levels	25	0	26	6.92	4.02	20.2%	6.2%	0.2	K 21.2% · BB 5.6% · FIP 2.01
2026	29	MIX2 levels	40	1	40	4.69	3.67	18.4%	9.2%	0.4	K 15.6% · BB 8.2% · FIP 4.08
2027PROJ	30	MLBPHI	59	0	62	4.69	4.57	18.3%	8.8%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBPHI	20	0	21	4.76	4.80	17.6%	9.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBPHI	28	0	29	4.94	5.06	16.8%	9.6%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control45Command35FB velo55

CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Esteban Haro (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.69

FIP4.57

K%18.3%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†4545

FB+2.6 (63%)

SI (62%)

SL-0.8 (26%)

CT-1.2 (11%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	5	0	5	18	5	2	0	0%	1.0	27.8%	11.1%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.16	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	5	0	5	18	5	2	0	0%	1.0	27.8%	11.1%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.30	—
2018	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	65	247	64	19	1	0%	1.5	19.9%	8.8%	11.1%	0.5%	1.53	2.80	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	65	247	64	19	1	0%	1.5	25.9%	7.7%	18.2%	0.4%	1.53	2.20	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	8	0	11	44	11	4	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	0.0%	0.84	2.14	—
2019	22	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	8	0	11	44	11	4	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	0.0%	0.84	2.16	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	57	255	54	22	3	2%	1.1	20.7%	8.9%	11.8%	1.3%	4.11	3.19	+0.9
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	1	57	255	54	22	3	2%	1.1	21.2%	8.6%	12.5%	1.2%	4.11	3.05	+1.0
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	67	280	50	16	2	0%	1.2	16.8%	5.9%	10.9%	0.7%	2.69	2.83	+1.4
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	67	280	50	16	2	0%	1.2	17.9%	5.7%	12.1%	0.7%	2.69	2.71	+1.5
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	49	213	48	20	8	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.8%	11.9%	4.4%	5.47	4.87	-0.2
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	49	213	48	20	8	0%	1.0	22.5%	9.4%	13.1%	3.8%	5.47	4.48	+0.0
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	0	60	259	45	20	9	0%	0.9	16.7%	7.5%	9.2%	3.5%	4.80	4.55	+0.0
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	0	60	259	45	20	9	0%	0.9	16.7%	7.5%	9.2%	3.5%	4.80	4.55	+0.0
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	69	0	60	259	45	20	9	0%	0.9	17.4%	7.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.80	4.55	0.0
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	129	26	8	4	0%	1.0	21.2%	5.6%	15.7%	0.0%	6.92	2.01	+0.8
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	129	26	8	4	0%	1.0	21.2%	5.6%	15.7%	0.0%	6.92	2.01	+0.8
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	26	129	26	8	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	6.2%	14.0%	3.1%	6.92	4.02	+0.2
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	40	174	32	16	3	2%	1.0	15.6%	8.2%	7.5%	2.3%	4.69	4.08	+0.2
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	40	174	32	16	3	2%	1.0	15.6%	8.2%	7.5%	2.3%	4.69	4.08	+0.2
2026	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	40	174	32	16	3	2%	1.0	18.4%	9.2%	9.2%	1.7%	4.69	3.67	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			170	1	170	738	132	52	22	1%	1.0	17.9%	7.0%	10.8%	3.0%	4.83	4.15	+0.8
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	PHI	59	0	62	262	48	23	7	0%	1.1	18.3%	8.8%	9.5%	2.8%	4.69	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	PHI	55	0	57	242	43	22	7	0%	1.0	17.6%	9.2%	8.4%	3.0%	4.76	4.80	-0.2
2029	32	MLB MLE	PHI	51	0	53	224	38	21	7	0%	1.0	16.8%	9.6%	7.2%	3.2%	4.94	5.06	-0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	PHI	20	0	21	89	16	8	3	0%	1.1	17.6%	9.2%	8.4%	3.0%	4.76	4.80	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	PHI	28	0	29	122	21	12	4	0%	1.0	16.8%	9.6%	7.2%	3.2%	4.94	5.06	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		218	1	220	951	168	72	29	0%	1.0	17.7%	7.6%	10.1%	3.0%	4.84	4.22	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		198	1	200	864	153	65	26	0%	1.0	17.7%	7.6%	10.1%	3.0%	4.84	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		350	2	380	1619	307	127	29	1%	1.1	19.0%	7.8%	11.1%	1.8%	3.81	3.47	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		184	1	200	852	162	67	15	1%	1.1	19.0%	7.8%	11.1%	1.8%	3.81	3.47	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Pop (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	18.3%	8.8%	2.8%	—	4.92	17.2%	7.8%	110	+0.35	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	80
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	78
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	77
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	76
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	76
Bo Schultz R 2016 · 3.90 FIP	30	SU	3.90	14.4%	5.2%	2.5%	.276	2.73	16.4%	8.4%	27	-1.17	2.73	141	76
Scott Dohmann R 2008 · 4.38 FIP	30	SU	4.38	18.2%	9.1%	3.0%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.28	173	75
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	75
Bryan Morris R 2017 · 3.60 FIP	30	SU	3.60	16.0%	9.6%	1.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	231	74
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	74
Jeremy Fikac R 2004 · 4.91 FIP	29	SU	4.91	19.6%	8.0%	4.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	136	74
Greg Burke R 2013 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	17.9%	8.3%	1.9%	.357	3.61	22.1%	14.8%	62	-0.09	3.61	139	74
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	74
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	74
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	74
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	57	17.7%	8.5%	1.16	4.81
Trevor Gott ('15-'23, -1 WAR*)	1.2	61	18.5%*	8.4%*	1.01*	4.85*
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*