Luis Ledo

P Salt Lake Bees

Age 32 RHP 6'4" / 240 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX2 levels	37	0	45	3.38	4.69	24.6%	13.1%	—	K 21.8% · BB 12.3% · FIP 5.11
2023	28	AAALAA	24	16	76	5.66	4.92	17.6%	15.0%	—	K 15.1% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.90
2024	29	MIX2 levels	28	3	43	8.16	5.12	19.6%	12.4%	—	K 17.4% · BB 11.7% · FIP 4.87
2027PROJ	32	MLBLAA	21	0	22	4.69	4.69	20.5%	10.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBLAA	7	0	7	4.80	4.90	20.3%	10.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Angel Castro (age 32) · Arcenio Leon (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%20.5%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	5	3	18	72	11	5	0	60%	3.5	10.4%	8.7%	1.7%	0.0%	3.57	3.32	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	5	3	18	72	11	5	0	60%	3.5	15.3%	6.9%	8.3%	0.0%	3.57	2.70	—
2016	21	ROK MLE	Great Falls Voyagers	16	14	65	269	55	23	3	88%	4.0	13.9%	10.7%	3.2%	1.6%	2.64	4.14	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Great Falls Voyagers	16	14	65	269	55	23	3	88%	4.0	20.4%	8.6%	11.9%	1.1%	2.64	3.07	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	1	15	68	17	9	3	10%	1.5	25.0%	13.2%	11.8%	4.4%	5.52	5.09	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	1	15	68	17	9	3	10%	1.5	25.0%	13.2%	11.8%	4.4%	5.52	5.28	—
2018	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	32	1	56	255	59	38	6	3%	1.8	17.1%	17.6%	-0.5%	3.0%	4.95	5.51	—
2018	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	32	1	56	255	59	38	6	3%	1.8	23.1%	14.9%	8.2%	2.4%	4.95	4.41	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	34	0	44	178	41	21	2	0%	1.3	17.7%	13.6%	4.2%	1.3%	1.83	4.01	—
2019	24	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	34	0	44	178	41	21	2	0%	1.3	23.0%	11.8%	11.2%	1.1%	1.83	3.26	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	34	0	41	174	52	19	2	0%	1.2	24.2%	12.0%	12.2%	1.3%	4.17	3.27	—
2021	26	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	34	0	41	174	52	19	2	0%	1.2	29.9%	10.9%	19.0%	1.1%	4.17	2.59	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	45	191	47	25	7	0%	1.2	21.8%	12.3%	9.5%	4.2%	3.38	5.11	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	45	191	47	25	7	0%	1.2	24.6%	13.1%	11.5%	3.7%	3.38	4.69	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	24	16	76	353	62	53	8	67%	3.2	15.1%	13.5%	1.6%	2.5%	5.66	4.90	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	24	16	76	353	62	53	8	67%	3.2	17.6%	15.0%	2.5%	2.3%	5.66	4.92	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	3	43	209	41	26	7	11%	1.5	17.4%	11.7%	5.7%	3.2%	8.16	4.87	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	3	43	209	41	26	7	11%	1.5	17.4%	11.7%	5.7%	3.2%	8.16	4.87	—
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	3	43	209	41	26	7	11%	1.5	19.6%	12.4%	7.2%	3.3%	8.16	5.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	LAA	21	0	22	93	19	9	3	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.2%	10.4%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAA	19	0	20	84	17	9	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.5%	9.8%	3.3%	4.80	4.90	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAA	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.5%	9.8%	3.3%	4.80	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	3	1	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.5%	9.8%	3.3%	4.80	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	82	27	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.5%	9.8%	3.3%	4.80	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		220	38	403	1769	311	229	43	17%	1.8	17.6%	13.0%	4.6%	2.4%	4.42	4.58	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	19	200	877	154	114	21	17%	1.8	17.6%	13.0%	4.6%	2.4%	4.42	4.58	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Ledo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	20.5%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.90	20.3%	9.8%	20	+0.21	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	79
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	78
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	78
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	78
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	77
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	76
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	76
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	75
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	75
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	75
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	74
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	74
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	74
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	73
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	73
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	73
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	72
Jim Henderson R 2015 · 5.27 FIP	32	SU	5.27	16.7%	11.9%	3.8%	.307	4.55	25.8%	16.8%	35	-0.72	1.86	167	72
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	72