Tanner Kiest

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	28	MIX2 levels	26	40	3.86	2.22	31.2%	8.8%	—	K 24.1% · BB 10.4% · FIP 3.15
2024	29	AASF	42	58	2.62	2.31	27.2%	12.0%	—	K 22.0% · BB 13.2% · FIP 2.91
2025	30	AALAD	11	13	10.66	6.89	20.3%	11.6%	—	K 16.4% · BB 12.8% · FIP 7.32
2027PROJ	32	MLBLAD	12	13	4.82	4.82	21.1%	11.5%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	33	MLBLAD	6	6	4.92	5.02	20.9%	11.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Neil Wagner (age 32) · Mike Broadway (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%21.1%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	12	0	17	81	18	17	0	0%	1.4	15.1%	26.2%	-11.1%	0.0%	4.67	5.15	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	12	0	17	81	18	17	0	0%	1.4	22.2%	21.0%	1.2%	0.0%	4.67	3.97	—
2018	23	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	7	2	15	76	14	14	0	29%	2.1	13.6%	21.7%	-8.1%	0.0%	7.98	4.70	—
2018	23	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	7	2	15	76	14	14	0	29%	2.1	18.4%	18.4%	0.0%	0.0%	7.98	4.05	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	40	170	53	15	2	0%	1.5	24.1%	10.4%	13.7%	1.4%	3.86	3.15	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	40	170	53	15	2	0%	1.5	31.2%	8.8%	22.4%	1.2%	3.86	2.22	—
2024	29	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	42	0	58	250	68	30	0	0%	1.4	22.0%	13.2%	8.8%	0.0%	2.62	2.91	—
2024	29	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	42	0	58	250	68	30	0	0%	1.4	22.0%	13.2%	8.8%	0.0%	2.62	2.91	—
2024	29	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	42	0	58	250	68	30	0	0%	1.4	27.2%	12.0%	15.2%	0.0%	2.62	2.31	—
2025	30	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	11	0	13	69	14	8	4	0%	1.2	16.4%	12.8%	3.7%	7.3%	10.66	7.32	—
2025	30	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	11	0	13	69	14	8	4	0%	1.2	16.4%	12.8%	3.7%	7.3%	10.66	7.32	—
2025	30	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	11	0	13	69	14	8	4	0%	1.2	20.3%	11.6%	8.7%	5.8%	10.66	6.89	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	LAD	12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.5%	9.6%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAD	19	0	20	84	18	10	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	3.3%	4.92	5.02	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAD	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	3.3%	4.92	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	3.3%	4.92	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	3.3%	4.92	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		98	2	143	646	130	97	7	2%	1.5	20.1%	15.1%	5.1%	1.1%	4.48	3.94	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	3	200	906	182	136	10	2%	1.5	20.1%	15.1%	5.1%	1.1%	4.48	3.94	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tanner Kiest (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	21.1%	11.5%	3.0%	—	5.02	20.9%	9.1%	20	+0.20	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	82
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	79
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	78
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	76
Jim Henderson R 2015 · 5.27 FIP	32	SU	5.27	16.7%	11.9%	3.8%	.307	4.55	25.8%	16.8%	35	-0.72	1.86	167	76
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	75
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	75
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	75
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	75
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	74
A.J. Schugel R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	32	SU	4.82	16.6%	12.3%	2.9%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	299	74
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	74
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	73
Kane Davis R 2007 · 4.82 FIP	32	SU	4.82	16.9%	10.2%	3.4%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	125	73
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	73
Rafael Martín R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	20.5%	10.7%	3.7%	.265	3.96	21.3%	15.8%	110	-0.78	2.94	227	73
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	72