Dillon Tate

P Salt Lake Bees

Age 33 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	30	MIX2 levels	54	58	3.70	2.98	18.7%	6.4%	1.1	K 17.6% · BB 6.2% · FIP 3.08
2025	31	MIX2 levels	42	46	2.36	3.65	22.9%	12.9%	0.5	K 19.6% · BB 10.8% · FIP 3.67
2026	32	AAALAA	23	31	3.19	3.39	18.5%	8.1%	—	K 15.9% · BB 7.3% · FIP 3.58
2027PROJ	33	MLBLAA	47	49	4.34	4.53	16.7%	8.7%	0.0
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBLAA	2	2	4.64	4.83	15.8%	9.2%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.6 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control55Command40FB velo40

CompsKeiichi Yabu (age 36) · Rudy Gonzalez (age 34) · Ivan Maldonado (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.34

FIP4.53

K%16.7%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.0%

Proj IP49

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†4040

SL+2.0 (43%)

SI (34%)

CH-1.5 (21%)

FB-3.3 (36%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	4	4	7	23	5	0	1	100%	1.8	21.7%	0.0%	21.7%	4.3%	1.29	3.65	—
2015	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	4	4	7	23	5	0	1	100%	1.8	21.7%	0.0%	21.7%	4.3%	1.29	3.53	—
2016	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	24	16	82	369	70	33	6	67%	3.4	14.0%	10.6%	3.5%	2.4%	4.70	4.55	—
2016	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	24	16	82	369	70	33	6	67%	3.4	19.0%	8.9%	10.0%	1.6%	4.70	3.55	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	83	342	63	21	7	100%	6.4	14.4%	7.0%	7.4%	2.6%	2.81	4.22	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	83	342	63	21	7	100%	6.4	18.4%	6.1%	12.3%	2.0%	2.81	3.44	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	22	22	123	518	96	34	10	100%	5.6	15.0%	7.2%	7.8%	2.2%	4.16	3.95	—
2018	24	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	22	22	123	518	96	34	10	100%	5.6	18.5%	6.6%	12.0%	1.9%	4.16	3.42	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	38	3	65	273	60	17	9	8%	1.7	19.3%	7.3%	12.0%	3.3%	4.27	4.20	+0.3
2019	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	38	3	65	273	60	17	9	8%	1.7	22.0%	6.2%	15.8%	3.3%	4.27	3.83	+0.6
2020	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	12	0	17	64	14	5	1	0%	1.4	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	1.4%	3.24	3.02	+0.3
2020	26	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	12	0	17	64	14	5	1	0%	1.4	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	1.6%	3.24	3.10	+0.3
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	69	290	50	23	7	0%	1.1	17.1%	8.0%	9.1%	2.2%	4.33	3.88	+0.5
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	69	290	50	23	7	0%	1.1	17.2%	7.9%	9.3%	2.4%	4.33	3.97	+0.5
2022	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	67	0	74	292	60	14	6	0%	1.1	20.5%	4.8%	15.8%	2.1%	3.05	3.11	+1.3
2022	28	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	67	0	74	292	60	14	6	0%	1.1	20.5%	4.8%	15.8%	2.1%	3.05	3.10	+1.3
2023	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	11	66	11	10	1	0%	0.8	16.7%	15.2%	1.5%	1.5%	15.19	4.44	—
2023	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	0	11	66	11	10	1	0%	0.8	16.7%	15.2%	1.5%	1.5%	15.19	5.07	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	58	251	47	16	3	0%	1.1	17.6%	6.2%	11.4%	1.2%	3.70	3.08	+1.0
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	58	251	47	16	3	0%	1.1	17.6%	6.2%	11.4%	1.2%	3.70	3.08	+1.0
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	58	251	47	16	3	0%	1.1	18.7%	6.4%	12.4%	1.2%	3.70	2.98	+1.1
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	46	201	46	26	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	1.6%	2.36	3.67	+0.5
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	46	201	46	26	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	1.6%	2.36	3.67	+0.5
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	46	201	46	26	3	0%	1.1	22.9%	12.9%	10.0%	1.5%	2.36	3.65	+0.5
2026	32	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	23	0	31	135	25	11	2	0%	1.3	15.9%	7.3%	8.6%	1.6%	3.19	3.58	—
2026	32	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	23	0	31	135	25	11	2	0%	1.3	15.9%	7.3%	8.6%	1.6%	3.19	3.58	—
2026	32	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	23	0	31	135	25	11	2	0%	1.3	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	1.5%	3.19	3.39	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			196	0	222	934	178	69	20	0%	1.1	19.1%	7.4%	11.7%	2.1%	4.09	3.60	+2.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	LAA	47	0	49	207	35	18	5	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.7%	8.0%	2.5%	4.34	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	LAA	42	0	44	187	29	17	5	0%	1.1	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	2.8%	4.64	4.83	-0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	LAA	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	2.8%	4.64	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		198	0	224	944	180	70	20	0%	1.1	19.0%	7.4%	11.6%	2.1%	4.10	3.61	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		177	0	200	841	160	62	18	0%	1.1	19.0%	7.4%	11.6%	2.1%	4.10	3.61	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		375	58	666	2824	476	219	62	15%	1.8	16.9%	7.8%	9.1%	2.2%	3.88	3.86	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	17	200	848	143	66	19	15%	1.8	16.9%	7.8%	9.1%	2.2%	3.88	3.86	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dillon Tate (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	16.7%	8.7%	2.5%	—	4.83	15.8%	6.6%	44	+0.30	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	86
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	84
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	83
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	81
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	2.16	306	80
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	80
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	80
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	78
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	78
Fernando Villalobos R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	32	SU	4.70	10.6%	8.0%	2.7%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	152	77
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	77
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	77
Mike James R 2001 · 4.52 FIP	33	SU	4.52	15.0%	8.7%	2.9%	.299	4.84	19.6%	9.8%	11	+0.32	2.87	314	77
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	75
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	74
Jared Burton R 2014 · 3.90 FIP	33	SU	3.90	16.9%	8.1%	2.2%	.263	3.99	25.1%	15.7%	14	+0.09	3.09	367	74
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	74
Willie Eyre R 2011 · 4.18 FIP	33	SU	4.18	13.9%	6.9%	2.5%	.182	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	164	74
Brian Schlitter R 2019 · 4.40 FIP	33	SU	4.40	14.8%	6.3%	3.2%	.331	4.70	14.9%	5.8%	48	+0.30	3.27	300	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	52	18.2%	8.0%	0.88	4.21
Javy Guerra ('21)	1.5	50	18.5%	9.1%	0.86	3.98
Mike Perez ('90-'97, 3 WAR*)	1.7	58	18.5%*	8.2%*	0.88*	3.86*
Tony Peña ('06-'11, 2 WAR*)	1.9	63	17.8%*	7.8%*	0.96*	4.15*
Ramon Troncoso ('13)	1.1	45	16.0%	8.5%	0.83	4.00
Dave Leiper ('84-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.4	46	15.6%*	9.1%*	0.94*	4.28*
Mark Dewey ('90-'96, 3 WAR*)	1.2	42	18.7%*	9.6%*	0.80*	3.89*