Tomoyuki Sugano

P Colorado Rockies

Age 37 RHP 6'1" / 227 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR
2025	35	MLBBAL	30	30	157	4.64	5.13	15.7%	5.0%	-0.4
2026	36	MLBCOL	29	29	154	5.37	5.34	14.6%	5.5%	-0.8
2027PROJ	37	MLBCOL	22	22	130	5.24	5.30	14.5%	5.5%	-0.6
2028PROJ86% MLB	38	MLBCOL	16	16	96	5.53	5.73	13.3%	6.2%	-0.9
2029PROJ72% MLB	39	MLBCOL	12	12	69	5.91	6.16	12.2%	6.9%	-0.9

Last 2 seasons WAR -1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -2.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo23

Whiff%10

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsJarrett Grube (age 35) · Masato Yoshii (age 37) · Pablo Ortega (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.24

FIP5.30

K%14.5%

BB%5.5%

K-BB%9.0%

Proj IP130

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6565

CMD4040

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2392.6

Whiff%

p1019.6%

p1014.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.377

SI (19%)

CU (8%)

SL (20%)

FB-0.7 (39%)

CT-1.6 (11%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	35	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.7%	4.64	4.98	-0.1
2025	35	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.7%	4.64	4.98	-0.1
2025	35	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.9%	4.64	5.13	-0.4
2026	36	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	29	29	154	656	96	36	33	100%	5.3	14.6%	5.5%	9.1%	4.5%	5.37	5.01	-0.2
2026	36	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	29	29	154	656	96	36	33	100%	5.3	14.6%	5.5%	9.1%	4.5%	5.37	5.01	-0.2
2026	36	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	29	29	154	656	96	36	33	100%	5.3	14.6%	5.5%	9.1%	5.0%	5.37	5.34	-0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			59	59	311	1331	202	70	66	100%	5.3	15.2%	5.3%	9.9%	5.0%	5.00	5.23	-1.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	37	MLB	COL	22	22	130	549	79	30	23	100%	5.9	14.5%	5.5%	9.0%	4.3%	5.24	5.30	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	38	MLB MLE	COL	19	19	112	473	63	29	22	100%	5.9	13.3%	6.2%	7.1%	4.7%	5.53	5.73	-1.0
2029	39	MLB MLE	COL	16	16	96	407	49	28	21	100%	6.0	12.2%	6.9%	5.3%	5.2%	5.91	6.16	-1.3
2028	38	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	96	405	54	25	19	100%	6.0	13.3%	6.2%	7.1%	4.7%	5.53	5.73	-0.9
2029	39	MLB CTX	COL	12	12	69	291	35	20	15	100%	5.8	12.2%	6.9%	5.3%	5.2%	5.91	6.16	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		87	87	477	2031	292	115	100	100%	5.5	14.4%	5.7%	8.7%	4.9%	5.24	5.32	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	851	122	48	42	100%	5.5	14.4%	5.7%	8.7%	4.9%	5.24	5.32	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		59	59	311	1331	202	70	61	100%	5.3	15.2%	5.3%	9.9%	4.6%	5.00	4.99	-3.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		38	38	200	855	130	45	39	100%	5.3	15.2%	5.3%	9.9%	4.6%	5.00	4.99	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tomoyuki Sugano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	14.5%	5.5%	4.3%	—	5.93	12.8%	6.3%	208	+0.63	—	—	—
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	61
Masato Yoshii R 2002 · 4.15 FIP	37	SP-	4.15	13.4%	5.4%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	757	61
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	56
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	53
Jose Oyervides R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	37	SP	5.66	16.3%	11.2%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	407	52
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	47
Arturo Lopez L 2019 · 5.46 FIP	36	SP	5.46	12.2%	6.8%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	445	32
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	31
Jorge Castillo L 2019 · 4.91 FIP	37	SP	4.91	19.6%	8.1%	4.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	408	27
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	23
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	22
Oscar Rivera L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	36	SP	5.80	9.8%	7.8%	4.6%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	237	17
Chris Michalak L 2006 · 5.71 FIP	35	SP-	5.71	6.2%	8.6%	3.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	186	13

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	130	14.3%	5.8%	1.86	5.27
Dave Johnson ('87-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.8	123	11.9%*	6.1%*	2.05*	5.61*
Lum Harris ('41-'47, 3 WAR*)	4.1	164	13.7%*	7.0%*	1.78*	4.86*
Bunny Hearn ('10-'20, 2 WAR*)	2.0	100	14.8%*	6.9%*	1.93*	5.20*
Bob Wolcott ('99)	1.6	81	12.2%	7.8%	1.71	5.86
Ryan Rupe ('03)	2.4	119	16.9%	7.7%	1.53	5.85
Luke Prokopec ('02)	1.2	77	14.1%	7.3%	1.87	5.30