Chris Bassitt

P Baltimore Orioles

Age 38 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 9.0 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 1.4 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	35	MLBTOR	31	31	171	4.16	3.70	22.2%	9.0%	2.5
2025	36	MLBTOR	32	31	170	3.96	3.75	22.6%	7.1%	2.4
2026	37	MIX2 levels	23	21	116	4.12	3.94	16.8%	8.2%	1.3	K 16.4% · BB 8.1% · FIP 3.88
2027PROJ	38	MLBBAL	18	18	107	4.23	4.31	18.8%	7.9%	0.7
2028PROJ	39	MLBBAL	15	15	92	4.61	4.81	17.7%	8.6%	0.2
2029PROJ	40	MLBBAL	13	13	79	4.85	4.99	18.5%	8.5%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 6.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service9.756First FA2028Options2

2027Ext / FA-deal$9M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs28

FB Velo22

Whiff%19

K%10

CompsHiroki Kuroda (age 38) · Walter Silva (age 38) · Yasutomo Kubo (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.23

FIP4.31

K%18.8%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%10.9%

Proj IP107

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4540

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2292.5

Whiff%

p1920.9%

p1016.1%

xwOBA vs

p280.338

SL+1.0 (9%)

CT (20%)

SI (37%)

CU (22%)

CH (5%)

FB-9.4 (45%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 9.756 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+0.7	$3M	-$6M
Totals		$9M		$3M	-$6M

Options · projected decision
2027	MUTUAL OPT	$9.2M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$19.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2014	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	6	5	30	137	21	12	0	83%	4.9	15.3%	8.8%	6.6%	0.0%	3.94	2.92	+0.7
2014	25	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	6	5	30	137	21	12	0	83%	4.9	15.3%	8.8%	6.6%	0.0%	3.94	2.90	+0.7
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	23	155	646	134	49	6	74%	5.0	19.4%	7.7%	11.7%	1.1%	3.60	3.02	+3.6
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	23	155	646	134	49	6	74%	5.0	20.7%	7.6%	13.2%	0.9%	3.60	2.82	+4.0
2016	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	5	5	28	133	23	14	5	100%	5.6	17.3%	10.5%	6.8%	4.1%	6.11	5.24	-0.1
2016	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	5	5	28	133	23	14	5	100%	5.6	17.3%	10.5%	6.8%	3.8%	6.11	5.28	-0.1
2017	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	9	51	218	45	20	3	38%	2.1	17.5%	9.8%	7.6%	1.7%	5.33	3.83	—
2017	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	9	51	218	45	20	3	38%	2.1	20.6%	9.2%	11.5%	1.4%	5.33	3.28	—
2018	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	21	129	556	124	44	10	72%	4.5	20.5%	8.1%	12.4%	2.0%	3.83	3.49	+2.2
2018	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	21	129	556	124	44	10	72%	4.5	22.3%	7.9%	14.4%	1.8%	3.83	3.21	+2.7
2019	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	28	155	657	157	49	23	90%	5.0	23.0%	7.7%	15.4%	3.8%	3.77	4.20	+1.3
2019	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	28	155	657	157	49	23	90%	5.0	23.9%	7.5%	16.4%	3.5%	3.77	3.95	+1.8
2020	31	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	11	11	63	261	55	17	6	100%	5.7	21.1%	6.5%	14.6%	2.5%	2.29	3.53	+1.1
2020	31	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	11	11	63	261	55	17	6	100%	5.7	21.1%	6.5%	14.6%	2.3%	2.29	3.40	+1.2
2021	32	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	27	27	157	637	159	38	15	100%	5.8	25.0%	6.0%	19.0%	2.6%	3.15	3.17	+3.4
2021	32	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	27	27	157	637	159	38	15	100%	5.8	25.0%	6.0%	19.0%	2.4%	3.15	3.04	+3.7
2022	33	MLB MLE	New York Mets	30	30	182	745	167	49	19	100%	6.1	22.4%	6.6%	15.8%	2.6%	3.42	3.44	+3.3
2022	33	MLB RAW	New York Mets	30	30	182	745	167	49	19	100%	6.1	22.4%	6.6%	15.8%	2.6%	3.42	3.43	+3.3
2023	34	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	33	33	200	826	186	57	28	100%	6.1	22.5%	6.9%	15.6%	3.4%	3.60	3.93	+2.3
2023	34	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	33	33	200	826	186	57	28	100%	6.1	22.5%	6.9%	15.6%	3.4%	3.60	3.92	+2.4
2024	35	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	31	31	171	758	168	68	18	100%	5.5	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	2.4%	4.16	3.67	+2.6
2024	35	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	31	31	171	758	168	68	18	100%	5.5	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	2.4%	4.16	3.67	+2.6
2024	35	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	31	31	171	758	168	68	18	100%	5.5	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	2.4%	4.16	3.70	+2.5
2025	36	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	32	31	170	736	166	52	22	97%	5.3	22.6%	7.1%	15.5%	3.0%	3.96	3.73	+2.4
2025	36	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	32	31	170	736	166	52	22	97%	5.3	22.6%	7.1%	15.5%	3.0%	3.96	3.73	+2.4
2025	36	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	32	31	170	736	166	52	22	97%	5.3	22.6%	7.1%	15.5%	3.0%	3.96	3.75	+2.4
2026	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	116	513	86	42	11	91%	5.0	16.4%	8.1%	8.3%	2.1%	4.12	3.88	+1.4
2026	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	116	513	86	42	11	91%	5.0	16.4%	8.1%	8.3%	2.1%	4.12	3.88	+1.4
2026	37	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	116	513	86	42	11	91%	5.0	16.8%	8.2%	8.6%	2.1%	4.12	3.94	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			252	236	1381	5870	1265	441	153	94%	5.5	21.6%	7.5%	14.0%	2.6%	3.70	3.67	+20.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	38	MLB	BAL	18	18	107	452	85	36	12	100%	5.9	18.8%	7.9%	10.9%	2.6%	4.23	4.31	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	39	MLB MLE	BAL	15	15	92	388	68	33	12	100%	6.1	17.7%	8.6%	9.1%	3.0%	4.54	4.74	+0.2
2029	40	MLB MLE	BAL	13	13	79	333	62	28	12	100%	6.1	18.5%	8.5%	10.0%	3.5%	4.76	4.90	0.0
2028	39	MLB CTX	BAL	15	15	92	388	69	33	12	100%	6.1	17.7%	8.6%	9.1%	3.2%	4.61	4.81	+0.2
2029	40	MLB CTX	BAL	13	13	79	334	62	28	12	100%	6.1	18.5%	8.5%	10.0%	3.6%	4.85	4.99	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		280	264	1551	6591	1395	503	177	94%	5.5	21.2%	7.6%	13.5%	2.7%	3.81	3.76	+21.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	34	200	850	180	65	23	94%	5.5	21.2%	7.6%	13.5%	2.7%	3.81	3.76	+2.8
Career	—	MLE		313	275	1607	6823	1458	516	173	88%	5.1	21.4%	7.6%	13.8%	2.5%	3.76	3.64	+20.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		39	34	200	849	182	64	22	88%	5.1	21.4%	7.6%	13.8%	2.5%	3.76	3.64	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Bassitt (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	18.8%	7.9%	2.6%	—	4.81	18.1%	9.5%	171	+0.50	—	—	—
Hiroki Kuroda R 2013 · 3.44 FIP	38	SP	3.44	18.2%	5.0%	2.3%	.279	3.39	17.8%	13.5%	199	-0.05	2.96	1,319	53
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	46
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	44
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	43
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	40
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	37
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	28
Lorenzo Barcelo R 2016 · 3.48 FIP	38	SP	3.48	12.8%	1.1%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	259	26
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	24
Mauricio Lara L 2017 · 3.70 FIP	38	SP	3.70	12.0%	6.3%	1.5%	.301	4.96	12.3%	5.5%	111	+1.26	3.62	444	22
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	22
Jorge Castillo L 2019 · 4.91 FIP	37	SP	4.91	19.6%	8.1%	4.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	408	21

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	8.3	111	21.0%	7.7%	1.03	3.83
Alex Wood ('24)	6.3	114	22.1%	7.1%	0.91	3.78
Bruce Kison ('71-'85, 16 WAR*)	9.0	121	20.4%*	8.5%*	1.10*	4.16*
Danny Duffy ('21)	5.9	107	21.1%	8.7%	1.11	3.95
Red Munger ('43-'56, 15 WAR*)	6.1	123	21.2%*	8.8%*	0.97*	4.11*
Russ Meyer ('46-'59, 15 WAR*)	7.7	139	18.9%*	7.6%*	1.06*	4.30*
Jeff Samardzija ('20)	8.2	150	21.0%	7.1%	1.12	4.15