Hoby Milner

P Seattle Mariners

Age 36 LHP 6'3" / 187 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	33	MIX2 levels	63	1	67	4.59	2.86	23.6%	4.4%	1.3	K 23.9% · BB 4.5% · FIP 2.82
2025	34	MLBTEX	73	0	70	3.84	3.14	19.8%	6.1%	1.2
2026	35	MIX2 levels	54	0	53	3.42	3.92	15.2%	4.9%	0.4	K 14.1% · BB 5.1% · FIP 4.14
2027PROJ	36	MLBSEA	38	0	40	4.10	4.33	15.3%	5.7%	0.1
2028PROJ	37	MLBSEA	33	0	35	4.48	4.73	14.2%	6.3%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.9 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs24

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsBrian Shouse (age 36) · Heriberto Ruelas (age 35) · Hisanori Takahashi (age 36)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.10

FIP4.33

K%15.3%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1087.1

Whiff%

p1019.0%

p1014.1%

xwOBA vs

p240.343

FB+2.2 (51%)

SL+1.6 (27%)

SI (39%)

CH-1.3 (22%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	3	64	263	41	17	6	10%	2.1	12.9%	7.4%	5.4%	2.8%	3.52	4.49	—
2015	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	3	64	263	41	17	6	10%	2.1	15.6%	6.5%	9.1%	2.3%	3.52	3.83	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	65	271	76	13	5	0%	1.3	23.3%	5.2%	18.1%	1.9%	2.49	2.84	—
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	65	271	76	13	5	0%	1.3	28.0%	4.8%	23.2%	1.8%	2.49	2.36	—
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	59	247	49	16	3	0%	1.0	18.5%	6.5%	12.0%	1.2%	2.29	3.01	+1.1
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	0	59	247	49	16	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.5%	13.4%	1.2%	2.29	2.91	+1.2
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	1	48	212	57	21	6	2%	0.9	24.8%	10.3%	14.5%	2.0%	3.56	3.38	+0.7
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	1	48	212	57	21	6	2%	0.9	26.9%	9.9%	17.0%	2.8%	3.56	3.66	+0.5
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	65	260	92	11	7	0%	1.2	32.2%	4.3%	27.9%	2.8%	3.31	2.47	+1.6
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	65	260	92	11	7	0%	1.2	35.4%	4.2%	31.2%	2.7%	3.31	2.18	+1.9
2020	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	19	0	13	59	13	6	5	0%	0.7	22.0%	10.2%	11.9%	8.3%	8.10	7.09	-0.4
2020	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	19	0	13	59	13	6	5	0%	0.7	22.0%	10.2%	11.9%	8.5%	8.10	7.38	-0.4
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	54	219	78	5	10	0%	1.1	33.0%	2.3%	30.7%	4.6%	3.19	3.12	+0.9
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	54	219	78	5	10	0%	1.1	35.6%	2.3%	33.3%	4.6%	3.19	2.90	+1.1
2022	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	67	0	65	272	64	15	5	0%	1.0	23.5%	5.5%	18.0%	1.8%	3.76	2.77	+1.4
2022	31	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	67	0	65	272	64	15	5	0%	1.0	23.5%	5.5%	18.0%	1.8%	3.76	2.82	+1.3
2023	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	73	0	64	252	59	13	5	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.2%	18.3%	1.9%	1.82	2.81	+1.3
2023	32	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	73	0	64	252	59	13	5	0%	0.9	23.4%	5.2%	18.3%	2.0%	1.82	2.88	+1.3
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	1	67	275	65	12	6	2%	1.1	23.9%	4.5%	19.4%	2.1%	4.59	2.82	+1.4
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	1	67	275	65	12	6	2%	1.1	23.9%	4.5%	19.4%	2.1%	4.59	2.82	+1.4
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	1	67	275	65	12	6	2%	1.1	23.6%	4.4%	19.3%	2.2%	4.59	2.86	+1.3
2025	34	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	73	0	70	293	58	18	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.1%	13.7%	1.6%	3.84	3.08	+1.2
2025	34	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	73	0	70	293	58	18	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.1%	13.7%	1.6%	3.84	3.08	+1.2
2025	34	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	73	0	70	293	58	18	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	6.1%	13.7%	1.7%	3.84	3.14	+1.2
2026	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	53	223	34	11	6	0%	1.0	14.1%	5.1%	9.0%	2.9%	3.42	4.14	+0.3
2026	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	53	223	34	11	6	0%	1.0	14.1%	5.1%	9.0%	2.9%	3.42	4.14	+0.3
2026	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	53	223	34	11	6	0%	1.0	15.2%	4.9%	10.3%	2.7%	3.42	3.92	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			411	1	383	1614	346	94	44	0%	0.9	21.4%	5.8%	15.6%	2.7%	3.80	3.52	+4.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	36	MLB	SEA	38	0	40	169	26	10	4	0%	1.1	15.3%	5.7%	9.6%	2.6%	4.10	4.33	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	37	MLB MLE	SEA	34	0	35	149	21	9	4	0%	1.0	14.2%	6.3%	7.9%	3.0%	4.48	4.73	-0.1
2028	37	MLB CTX	SEA	33	0	35	148	21	9	4	0%	1.1	14.2%	6.3%	7.9%	3.0%	4.48	4.73	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		445	1	419	1763	367	103	48	0%	0.9	20.8%	5.9%	15.0%	2.7%	3.86	3.59	+4.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		212	0	200	842	175	49	23	0%	0.9	20.8%	5.9%	15.0%	2.7%	3.86	3.59	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		644	5	687	2846	642	164	68	1%	1.1	22.6%	5.7%	16.8%	2.4%	3.35	3.24	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		187	1	200	829	187	48	20	1%	1.1	22.6%	5.7%	16.8%	2.4%	3.35	3.24	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hoby Milner (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	15.3%	5.7%	2.6%	—	4.73	14.2%	7.9%	35	+0.40	—	—	—
Brian Shouse L 2005 · 4.24 FIP	36	SU	4.24	15.0%	6.0%	3.0%	.271	3.35	15.0%	9.6%	137	-0.89	2.32	339	72
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	67
Hisanori Takahashi L 2011 · 3.64 FIP	36	SU	3.64	18.5%	6.0%	2.4%	.249	4.04	24.5%	18.4%	50	+0.40	3.50	240	63
Tim Byrdak L 2010 · 4.48 FIP	36	SU	4.48	17.1%	11.8%	2.4%	.308	2.92	27.6%	18.1%	68	-1.56	2.85	320	57
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	55
Raul Valdes L 2013 · 4.07 FIP	35	SU	4.07	24.3%	5.3%	4.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	160	54
Juan Pablo Perez L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	36	SU	3.68	26.5%	15.3%	1.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	44
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	34
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	34
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	33
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2003 · 3.30 FIP	35	SU	3.30	19.3%	8.7%	1.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	223	33
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	32
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	32
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	31
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	31
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	31
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	30
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	28
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	28
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	28

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	51	20.3%	6.4%	1.06	3.88
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Jon Rauch ('13)	3.0	60	19.0%	7.2%	1.06	3.90
Tony Castillo ('88-'98, 4 WAR*)	2.6	59	18.5%*	7.3%*	0.98*	3.76*
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Mike Perez ('90-'97, 3 WAR*)	1.7	58	18.5%*	8.2%*	0.88*	3.86*