Brooks Raley

P Philadelphia Phillies

Age 39 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	36	MLBNYM	8	0	7	0.00	1.81	36.0%	12.0%	0.2
2025	37	MIX4 levels	38	1	35	1.82	1.51	28.1%	5.2%	1.3	K 25.3% · BB 6.1% · FIP 1.74
2026	38	MLBPHI	61	0	53	3.25	3.73	22.8%	8.5%	0.5
2027PROJ	39	MLBPHI	52	0	55	3.83	4.09	21.4%	8.1%	0.3
2028PROJ86% MLB	40	MLBPHI	39	0	41	4.25	4.52	20.2%	8.8%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.0 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs55

K%53

Whiff%37

FB Velo10

CompsHisanori Takahashi (age 37) · Takashi Saito (age 39) · Keiichi Yabu (age 39)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 92100vR 108

ERA3.83

FIP4.09

K%21.4%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%13.3%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.3

Whiff%

p3723.4%

p5322.8%

xwOBA vs

p550.307

SL+2.6 (36%)

FB+0.7 (22%)

SI (22%)

CH (13%)

CT-1.2 (30%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2012	24	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	5	5	24	116	16	11	7	100%	4.9	13.8%	9.5%	4.3%	6.3%	8.14	6.58	-0.4
2012	24	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	5	5	24	116	16	11	7	100%	4.9	13.8%	9.5%	4.3%	6.0%	8.14	6.88	-0.5
2013	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	9	0	14	61	14	8	2	0%	1.6	23.0%	13.1%	9.8%	3.4%	5.14	4.69	-0.0
2013	25	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	9	0	14	61	14	8	2	0%	1.6	23.0%	13.1%	9.8%	3.3%	5.14	4.67	-0.0
2020	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	21	0	20	84	27	6	3	0%	1.0	32.1%	7.1%	25.0%	3.7%	4.95	3.31	+0.3
2020	32	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	21	0	20	84	27	6	3	0%	1.0	32.1%	7.1%	25.0%	3.6%	4.95	3.25	+0.3
2021	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	50	209	66	16	6	0%	0.8	31.7%	7.8%	23.9%	3.0%	4.68	3.06	+0.9
2021	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	0	50	209	66	16	6	0%	0.8	31.6%	7.7%	23.9%	2.9%	4.68	2.98	+0.9
2022	34	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	60	0	54	219	61	15	3	0%	0.9	27.9%	6.8%	21.0%	1.4%	2.68	2.39	+1.4
2022	34	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	60	0	54	219	61	15	3	0%	0.9	27.9%	6.8%	21.0%	1.4%	2.68	2.39	+1.4
2023	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	67	0	56	240	64	22	4	0%	0.8	25.8%	9.3%	16.5%	1.7%	2.75	3.03	+1.0
2023	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	67	0	56	240	64	22	4	0%	0.8	26.7%	9.2%	17.5%	1.7%	2.75	2.92	+1.1
2024	36	MLB MLE	New York Mets	8	0	7	25	9	3	0	0%	0.9	36.0%	12.0%	24.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.58	+0.3
2024	36	MLB MLE	New York Mets	8	0	7	25	9	3	0	0%	0.9	36.0%	12.0%	24.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.58	+0.3
2024	36	MLB RAW	New York Mets	8	0	7	25	9	3	0	0%	0.9	36.0%	12.0%	24.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.81	+0.2
2025	37	MIX MLE	4 levels	38	1	35	135	38	7	0	3%	0.9	25.3%	6.1%	19.2%	0.0%	1.82	1.74	+1.2
2025	37	MIX MLE	4 levels	38	1	35	135	38	7	0	3%	0.9	25.3%	6.1%	19.2%	0.0%	1.82	1.74	+1.2
2025	37	MIX RAW	4 levels	38	1	35	135	38	7	0	3%	0.9	28.1%	5.2%	23.0%	0.0%	1.82	1.51	+1.3
2026	38	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	61	0	53	224	51	19	6	0%	0.9	22.8%	8.5%	14.3%	2.5%	3.25	3.62	+0.6
2026	38	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	61	0	53	224	51	19	6	0%	0.9	22.8%	8.5%	14.3%	2.5%	3.25	3.62	+0.6
2026	38	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	61	0	53	224	51	19	6	0%	0.9	22.8%	8.5%	14.3%	2.7%	3.25	3.73	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			318	5	301	1269	329	106	31	2%	0.9	25.9%	8.4%	17.6%	2.4%	3.77	3.31	+4.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	39	MLB	PHI	52	0	55	232	50	19	6	0%	1.1	21.4%	8.1%	13.3%	2.5%	3.83	4.09	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	40	MLB MLE	PHI	45	0	48	201	41	18	6	0%	1.1	20.2%	8.8%	11.5%	3.0%	4.25	4.52	+0.0
2028	40	MLB CTX	PHI	39	0	41	173	35	15	5	0%	1.1	20.2%	8.8%	11.5%	3.0%	4.25	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		357	5	342	1442	364	121	36	1%	1.0	25.2%	8.4%	16.8%	2.5%	3.83	3.41	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		209	3	200	843	213	71	21	1%	1.0	25.2%	8.4%	16.8%	2.5%	3.83	3.41	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		328	6	312	1313	340	109	31	2%	1.0	25.9%	8.3%	17.6%	2.4%	3.63	3.28	+4.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		210	4	200	842	218	70	20	2%	1.0	25.9%	8.3%	17.6%	2.4%	3.63	3.28	+2.6

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Brooks Raley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.09	21.4%	8.1%	2.5%	—	4.52	20.2%	11.5%	48	+0.43	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	66
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	38
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	35
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	33
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	30
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	29
Koji Uehara R 2014 · 3.05 FIP	39	SU	3.05	32.1%	3.2%	4.1%	.272	3.11	30.7%	25.5%	130	+0.06	1.28	481	21
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	9

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	45	24.6%	8.6%	0.98	3.83
Ryan Tepera ('23)	1.8	52	24.3%	8.8%	1.13	3.62
Jerry Blevins ('19)	2.5	45	24.2%	9.3%	0.91	3.54
Tony Fossas ('88-'99, 2 WAR*)	2.1	42	21.9%*	9.3%*	0.99*	3.88*
Neftalí Feliz ('21)	2.0	49	22.9%	9.7%	1.05	3.55
Mike Schooler ('88-'93, 5 WAR*)	1.5	49	26.9%*	8.0%*	0.96*	3.68*
Carlos Diaz ('82-'86, 2 WAR*)	1.3	52	25.1%*	8.7%*	0.91*	3.84*

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brooks Raley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.09	21.4%	8.1%	2.5%	—	4.52	20.2%	11.5%	48	+0.43	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	66
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	38
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	35
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	33
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	30
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	29
Koji Uehara R 2014 · 3.05 FIP	39	SU	3.05	32.1%	3.2%	4.1%	.272	3.11	30.7%	25.5%	130	+0.06	1.28	481	21
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	9

Brooks Raley

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps