Aroldis Chapman

P Boston Red Sox

Age 39 LHP 6'4" / 235 lbs MLB peak 0.9 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR
2024	36	MLBPIT	68	62	3.79	2.87	37.0%	14.7%	1.2
2025	37	MLBBOS	67	61	1.17	1.70	37.3%	6.6%	2.1
2026	38	MLBBOS	53	52	1.92	2.44	33.3%	10.8%	1.3
2027PROJ	39	MLBBOS	44	46	2.92	2.86	35.7%	9.8%	1.0
2028PROJ	40	MLBBOS	37	39	3.15	3.30	34.5%	10.5%	0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR 4.6 · Next 2 projected WAR 1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%90

xwOBA vs90

FB Velo84

Whiff%83

CompsHisanori Takahashi (age 37) · Takashi Saito (age 39) · Koji Uehara (age 39)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 6372vR 80

ERA2.92

FIP2.86

K%35.7%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%25.9%

Proj IP46

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7575

CTRL6565

CMD7575

K†8080

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8496.9

Whiff%

p8330.4%

p9033.3%

xwOBA vs

p900.252

FB+0.8 (70%)

SL+0.8 (18%)

SI (32%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2010	22	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	15	0	13	51	19	5	0	0%	0.9	37.3%	9.8%	27.5%	0.0%	2.02	1.20	+0.5
2010	22	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	15	0	13	51	19	5	0	0%	0.9	37.3%	9.8%	27.5%	0.0%	2.02	1.38	+0.5
2011	23	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	54	0	50	207	71	41	2	0%	0.9	34.3%	19.8%	14.5%	0.9%	3.60	3.20	+0.8
2011	23	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	54	0	50	207	71	41	2	0%	0.9	34.3%	19.8%	14.5%	1.0%	3.60	3.24	+0.8
2012	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	68	0	72	276	122	23	4	0%	1.1	44.2%	8.3%	35.9%	1.3%	1.51	1.16	+2.9
2012	24	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	68	0	72	276	122	23	4	0%	1.1	44.2%	8.3%	35.9%	1.4%	1.51	1.38	+2.7
2013	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	68	0	64	258	112	29	7	0%	0.9	43.4%	11.2%	32.2%	2.5%	2.54	2.24	+1.8
2013	25	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	68	0	64	258	112	29	7	0%	0.9	43.4%	11.2%	32.2%	2.7%	2.54	2.38	+1.7
2014	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	54	0	54	202	106	24	1	0%	1.0	52.5%	11.9%	40.6%	0.5%	2.00	0.43	+2.7
2014	26	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	54	0	54	202	106	24	1	0%	1.0	52.5%	11.9%	40.6%	0.5%	2.00	0.75	+2.5
2015	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	65	0	66	278	116	32	3	0%	1.0	41.7%	11.5%	30.2%	1.0%	1.63	1.58	+2.4
2015	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	65	0	66	278	116	32	3	0%	1.0	41.7%	11.5%	30.2%	1.1%	1.63	1.64	+2.3
2016	28	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	59	0	58	222	90	18	2	0%	1.0	40.5%	8.1%	32.4%	0.9%	1.55	1.22	+2.3
2016	28	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	59	0	58	222	90	18	2	0%	1.0	40.5%	8.1%	32.4%	0.9%	1.55	1.38	+2.2
2017	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	51	214	71	20	3	2%	1.0	32.9%	8.6%	24.3%	1.3%	3.35	2.15	+1.5
2017	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	1	51	214	71	20	3	2%	1.0	33.2%	9.3%	23.8%	1.4%	3.35	2.26	+1.4
2018	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	55	0	51	212	93	30	2	0%	0.9	43.9%	14.2%	29.7%	0.9%	2.45	1.67	+1.8
2018	30	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	55	0	51	212	93	30	2	0%	0.9	43.9%	14.2%	29.7%	0.9%	2.45	1.74	+1.7
2019	31	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	60	0	57	235	85	25	3	0%	0.9	36.2%	10.6%	25.5%	1.2%	2.21	2.05	+1.7
2019	31	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	60	0	57	235	85	25	3	0%	0.9	36.2%	10.6%	25.5%	1.3%	2.21	2.12	+1.7
2020	32	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	13	0	12	45	22	4	2	0%	0.9	48.9%	8.9%	40.0%	4.4%	3.09	2.54	+0.3
2020	32	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	13	0	12	45	22	4	2	0%	0.9	48.9%	8.9%	40.0%	4.4%	3.09	2.59	+0.3
2021	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	61	0	56	243	97	36	9	0%	0.9	39.9%	14.8%	25.1%	3.5%	3.36	3.51	+0.7
2021	33	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	61	0	56	243	97	36	9	0%	0.9	39.9%	14.8%	25.1%	3.7%	3.36	3.65	+0.6
2022	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	41	178	52	30	4	0%	0.9	26.9%	17.5%	9.4%	2.3%	3.92	4.33	+0.1
2022	34	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	41	178	52	30	4	0%	0.9	29.2%	16.9%	12.4%	2.2%	3.92	4.02	+0.3
2023	35	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	61	0	58	249	103	34	4	0%	1.0	41.4%	13.7%	27.7%	1.5%	3.09	2.16	+1.7
2023	35	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	61	0	58	249	103	34	4	0%	1.0	41.4%	13.7%	27.7%	1.6%	3.09	2.21	+1.6
2024	36	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	68	0	62	265	98	39	5	0%	0.9	37.0%	14.7%	22.3%	2.0%	3.79	2.96	+1.2
2024	36	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	68	0	62	265	98	39	5	0%	0.9	37.0%	14.7%	22.3%	2.0%	3.79	2.96	+1.2
2024	36	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	68	0	62	265	98	39	5	0%	0.9	37.0%	14.7%	22.3%	1.9%	3.79	2.87	+1.2
2025	37	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	67	0	61	228	85	15	3	0%	0.9	37.3%	6.6%	30.7%	1.3%	1.17	1.53	+2.2
2025	37	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	67	0	61	228	85	15	3	0%	0.9	37.3%	6.6%	30.7%	1.3%	1.17	1.53	+2.2
2025	37	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	67	0	61	228	85	15	3	0%	0.9	37.3%	6.6%	30.7%	1.3%	1.17	1.70	+2.1
2026	38	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	53	0	52	213	71	23	3	0%	1.0	33.3%	10.8%	22.5%	1.4%	1.92	2.45	+1.3
2026	38	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	53	0	52	213	71	23	3	0%	1.0	33.3%	10.8%	22.5%	1.4%	1.92	2.45	+1.3
2026	38	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	53	0	52	213	71	23	3	0%	1.0	33.3%	10.8%	22.5%	1.4%	1.92	2.44	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			916	0	873	3554	1402	424	57	0%	1.0	39.4%	11.9%	27.5%	1.6%	2.48	2.19	+24.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	39	MLB	BOS	44	0	46	194	69	19	4	0%	1.0	35.7%	9.8%	25.9%	2.1%	2.92	2.86	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	40	MLB MLE	BOS	37	0	39	166	57	17	4	0%	1.1	34.5%	10.5%	24.0%	2.6%	3.15	3.30	+0.6
2028	40	MLB CTX	BOS	37	0	39	165	57	17	4	0%	1.1	34.5%	10.5%	24.0%	2.6%	3.15	3.30	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		953	0	912	3720	1459	441	61	0%	1.0	39.2%	11.9%	27.4%	1.6%	2.51	2.19	+25.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		209	0	200	816	320	97	13	0%	1.0	39.2%	11.9%	27.4%	1.6%	2.51	2.19	+5.7
Career	—	MLE		922	1	879	3576	1408	427	55	0%	1.0	39.4%	12.0%	27.4%	1.5%	2.48	2.14	+25.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		210	0	200	814	321	97	13	0%	1.0	39.4%	12.0%	27.4%	1.5%	2.48	2.14	+5.5

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Aroldis Chapman (OGILVIE)	—	—	2.86	35.7%	9.8%	2.1%	—	3.30	34.5%	24.0%	39	+0.44	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	56
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	25
Koji Uehara R 2014 · 3.05 FIP	39	SU	3.05	32.1%	3.2%	4.1%	.272	3.11	30.7%	25.5%	130	+0.06	1.28	481	20
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	9
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	5
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	1
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	0
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	0

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	56	39.0%	11.9%	0.65	2.53
David Robertson ('25)	4.5	64	31.9%	9.9%	0.82	2.93
Billy Wagner ('10)	4.5	65	33.2%	8.3%	0.82	2.31
Rob Dibble ('88-'95, 10 WAR*)	2.4	68	41.6%*	12.1%*	0.76*	3.34*
Dellin Betances ('21)	2.0	79	39.2%	11.3%	0.59	2.53
Tom Henke ('82-'95, 25 WAR*)	3.9	66	35.9%*	7.7%*	0.93*	2.72*
Bryan Harvey ('87-'94, 12 WAR*)	1.9	64	37.8%*	8.9%*	0.94*	2.59*

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aroldis Chapman (OGILVIE)	—	—	2.86	35.7%	9.8%	2.1%	—	3.30	34.5%	24.0%	39	+0.44	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	56
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	25
Koji Uehara R 2014 · 3.05 FIP	39	SU	3.05	32.1%	3.2%	4.1%	.272	3.11	30.7%	25.5%	130	+0.06	1.28	481	20
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	9
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	5
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	1
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	0
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	0

Aroldis Chapman

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps