Drew Pomeranz

P Chicago Cubs

Age 38 LHP 6'5" / 246 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	35	AAAOklahoma City…	8	1	9	6.00	1.77	37.8%	2.7%	—	K 37.8% · BB 2.7% · FIP 1.73
2025	36	MIX2 levels	66	4	59	2.58	2.76	28.9%	7.7%	1.3	K 28.1% · BB 6.9% · FIP 3.01
2026	37	MIX2 levels	33	0	31	5.23	6.00	14.0%	9.1%	-0.5	K 12.6% · BB 8.9% · FIP 6.12
2027PROJ	38	MLBCHC	167	0	175	4.48	4.88	18.9%	8.5%	-0.7
2028PROJ	39	MLBCHC	143	0	150	4.90	5.24	17.7%	9.2%	-1.3
2029PROJ	40	MLBCHC	123	0	129	5.35	5.66	16.6%	9.8%	-1.7

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7 · Next 3 projected WAR -3.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs17

FB Velo16

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsHisanori Takahashi (age 37) · Juan Antonio Pena (age 37) · Juan Sandoval (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.48

FIP4.88

K%18.9%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP175

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 175 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1692.1

Whiff%

p1017.6%

p1012.6%

xwOBA vs

p170.351

CU (27%)

FB-0.6 (73%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2011	22	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	4	4	18	77	13	5	0	100%	4.6	16.9%	6.5%	10.4%	0.0%	5.40	2.50	+0.6
2011	22	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	4	4	18	77	13	5	0	100%	4.6	16.9%	6.5%	10.4%	0.0%	5.40	2.50	+0.6
2012	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	22	22	97	434	83	44	14	100%	4.4	19.1%	10.1%	9.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.34	+0.6
2012	23	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	22	22	97	434	83	44	14	100%	4.4	19.1%	10.1%	9.0%	3.2%	4.93	4.63	+0.3
2013	24	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	8	4	22	105	19	18	4	50%	2.7	18.1%	17.1%	1.0%	3.4%	6.23	5.60	-0.2
2013	24	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	8	4	22	105	19	18	4	50%	2.7	18.1%	17.1%	1.0%	3.8%	6.23	6.24	-0.3
2014	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	20	10	69	278	64	26	7	50%	3.5	23.0%	9.4%	13.7%	2.8%	2.35	3.86	+0.9
2014	25	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	20	10	69	278	64	26	7	50%	3.5	23.0%	9.4%	13.7%	2.5%	2.35	3.69	+1.0
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	9	88	363	85	30	8	17%	1.6	23.0%	8.4%	14.6%	2.5%	3.58	3.58	+1.0
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	9	88	363	85	30	8	17%	1.6	23.4%	8.3%	15.2%	2.2%	3.58	3.37	+1.2
2016	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	31	30	171	703	186	62	22	97%	5.5	26.5%	8.8%	17.6%	3.2%	3.32	3.74	+2.4
2016	27	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	31	30	171	703	186	62	22	97%	5.5	26.5%	8.8%	17.6%	3.1%	3.32	3.69	+2.5
2017	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	32	32	174	740	174	69	19	100%	5.4	23.5%	9.3%	14.2%	2.6%	3.32	3.74	+2.4
2017	28	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	32	32	174	740	174	69	19	100%	5.4	23.5%	9.3%	14.2%	2.6%	3.32	3.71	+2.5
2018	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	17	99	450	82	59	20	53%	3.1	17.9%	13.2%	4.7%	4.2%	5.82	5.58	-0.8
2018	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	17	99	450	82	59	20	53%	3.1	18.2%	13.1%	5.1%	4.4%	5.82	5.86	-1.1
2019	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	46	18	104	455	137	44	21	39%	2.3	30.1%	9.7%	20.4%	4.4%	4.85	4.19	+0.4
2019	30	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	46	18	104	455	137	44	21	39%	2.3	30.1%	9.7%	20.4%	4.6%	4.85	4.36	+0.2
2020	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	20	0	19	73	29	10	1	0%	0.9	39.7%	13.7%	26.0%	1.3%	1.45	2.21	+0.5
2020	31	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	20	0	19	73	29	10	1	0%	0.9	39.7%	13.7%	26.0%	1.4%	1.45	2.30	+0.5
2021	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	27	0	26	102	30	9	2	0%	1.0	29.4%	8.8%	20.6%	1.9%	1.75	2.78	+0.5
2021	32	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	27	0	26	102	30	9	2	0%	1.0	29.4%	8.8%	20.6%	2.0%	1.75	2.83	+0.5
2022	33	MIX MLE	3 levels	5	2	5	20	6	3	1	40%	0.9	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	5.0%	7.71	5.21	—
2022	33	MIX RAW	3 levels	5	2	5	20	6	3	1	40%	0.9	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	5.0%	7.71	5.24	—
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	6	30	6	5	1	29%	0.8	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	3.3%	14.29	5.35	—
2023	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	2	6	30	6	5	1	29%	0.8	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	3.3%	14.29	5.92	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	8	1	9	37	14	1	1	12%	1.1	37.8%	2.7%	35.1%	2.7%	6.00	1.73	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	8	1	9	37	14	1	1	12%	1.1	37.8%	2.7%	35.1%	2.7%	6.00	1.73	—
2024	35	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	8	1	9	37	14	1	1	12%	1.1	37.8%	2.7%	35.1%	2.7%	6.00	1.77	—
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	4	59	246	71	19	5	6%	0.9	28.1%	6.9%	21.2%	2.6%	2.58	3.01	+1.1
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	4	59	246	71	19	5	6%	0.9	28.1%	6.9%	21.2%	2.6%	2.58	3.01	+1.1
2025	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	66	4	59	246	71	19	5	6%	0.9	28.9%	7.7%	21.1%	2.0%	2.58	2.76	+1.3
2026	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	31	143	20	13	7	0%	0.9	12.6%	8.9%	3.7%	5.4%	5.23	6.12	-0.6
2026	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	31	143	20	13	7	0%	0.9	12.6%	8.9%	3.7%	5.4%	5.23	6.12	-0.6
2026	37	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	31	143	20	13	7	0%	0.9	14.0%	9.1%	4.9%	4.9%	5.23	6.00	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			377	144	937	4006	957	386	122	38%	2.5	23.9%	9.6%	14.3%	3.0%	3.87	3.99	+6.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	38	MLB	CHC	167	0	175	739	139	62	26	0%	1.0	18.9%	8.5%	10.4%	3.5%	4.48	4.88	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	39	MLB MLE	CHC	143	0	150	635	113	58	25	0%	1.1	17.7%	9.2%	8.6%	4.0%	4.98	5.32	-1.3
2029	40	MLB MLE	CHC	123	0	129	546	90	54	24	0%	1.1	16.6%	9.8%	6.7%	4.4%	5.44	5.75	-1.7
2028	39	MLB CTX	CHC	143	0	150	633	112	58	24	0%	1.0	17.7%	9.2%	8.6%	3.8%	4.90	5.24	-1.3
2029	40	MLB CTX	CHC	123	0	129	545	90	54	23	0%	1.0	16.6%	9.8%	6.7%	4.2%	5.35	5.66	-1.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		644	144	1217	5188	1160	498	169	22%	1.9	22.4%	9.6%	12.8%	3.3%	4.16	4.22	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		106	24	200	853	191	82	28	22%	1.9	22.4%	9.6%	12.8%	3.3%	4.16	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		415	155	995	4256	1012	416	134	37%	2.4	23.8%	9.8%	14.0%	3.1%	3.99	4.05	+3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	31	200	855	203	84	27	37%	2.4	23.8%	9.8%	14.0%	3.1%	3.99	4.05	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Pomeranz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	18.9%	8.5%	3.5%	—	5.52	17.2%	7.7%	280	+0.64	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	50
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	40
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	28
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	27
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	27
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	26
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	26
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	26
Jorge Castillo L 2019 · 4.91 FIP	37	SP	4.91	19.6%	8.1%	4.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	408	25
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	24
Billy Taylor R 2000 · 4.53 FIP	38	SU	4.53	21.0%	11.3%	3.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	323	24
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	23
Seunghwan Oh R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	37	SU	5.75	18.2%	6.8%	6.0%	.383	—	—	—	—	—	1.87	226	22
Oscar Rivera L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	36	SP	5.80	9.8%	7.8%	4.6%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	237	21
Mauricio Lara L 2017 · 3.70 FIP	38	SP	3.70	12.0%	6.3%	1.5%	.301	4.96	12.3%	5.5%	111	+1.26	3.62	444	11
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	2
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	1
Jose Oyervides R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	37	SP	5.66	16.3%	11.2%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	407	0
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	0
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	0

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.0	99	21.9%	9.7%	1.29	4.21
Pete Richert ('62-'74, 13 WAR*)	5.8	90	24.4%*	8.8%*	1.26*	4.04*
Bobby Bolin ('61-'73, 12 WAR*)	7.9	121	22.7%*	9.6%*	1.33*	4.11*
Skip Lockwood ('69-'80, 11 WAR*)	6.2	103	22.5%*	9.1%*	1.06*	4.28*
Rich Hill ('25)	7.1	101	23.9%	9.2%	1.12	4.02
Bud Norris ('18)	6.1	122	21.7%	9.1%	1.15	4.45
Drew Smyly ('24)	5.7	104	23.1%	7.7%	1.49	4.20