Craig Kimbrel

P Kansas City Royals

Age 39 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	36	MLBBAL	57	52	5.33	3.77	31.5%	12.9%	0.5
2025	37	MIX3 levels	56	51	2.82	3.61	32.2%	13.3%	0.6	K 25.6% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.20
2026	38	MIX2 levels	47	47	4.40	3.74	20.6%	10.1%	0.5	K 20.4% · BB 10.2% · FIP 3.88
2027PROJ	39	MLBKC	50	52	4.44	4.44	22.9%	10.8%	0.1
2028PROJ	40	MLBKC	43	45	4.70	4.87	21.7%	11.5%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.5 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs46

K%38

FB Velo37

Whiff%35

CompsTakashi Saito (age 39) · Keiichi Yabu (age 39) · Juan Sandoval (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.44

FIP4.44

K%22.9%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%12.1%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3793.6

Whiff%

p3523.1%

p3820.4%

xwOBA vs

p460.316

FB+1.1 (73%)

SI (8%)

CU (10%)

CH (3%)

SL (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2010	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	21	0	21	88	40	15	0	0%	1.0	45.5%	17.0%	28.4%	0.0%	0.44	1.42	+0.8
2010	22	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	21	0	21	88	40	15	0	0%	1.0	45.5%	17.0%	28.4%	0.0%	0.44	1.41	+0.8
2011	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	79	0	77	306	127	31	3	0%	1.0	41.5%	10.1%	31.4%	1.1%	2.10	1.46	+2.9
2011	23	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	79	0	77	306	127	31	3	0%	1.0	41.5%	10.1%	31.4%	1.0%	2.10	1.52	+2.8
2012	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	63	0	63	231	116	14	3	0%	1.0	50.2%	6.1%	44.2%	1.4%	1.01	0.40	+3.1
2012	24	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	63	0	63	231	116	14	3	0%	1.0	50.2%	6.1%	44.2%	1.3%	1.01	0.69	+2.9
2013	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	68	0	67	258	98	18	4	0%	1.0	38.0%	7.0%	31.0%	1.7%	1.21	1.70	+2.3
2013	25	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	68	0	67	258	98	18	4	0%	1.0	38.0%	7.0%	31.0%	1.6%	1.21	1.76	+2.3
2014	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	63	0	62	244	95	26	2	0%	1.0	38.9%	10.7%	28.3%	0.9%	1.61	1.65	+2.2
2014	26	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	63	0	62	244	95	26	2	0%	1.0	38.9%	10.7%	28.3%	0.8%	1.61	1.71	+2.1
2015	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	61	0	59	239	87	21	6	0%	1.0	36.4%	8.8%	27.6%	2.4%	2.58	2.48	+1.5
2015	27	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	61	0	59	239	87	21	6	0%	1.0	36.4%	8.8%	27.6%	2.5%	2.58	2.54	+1.4
2016	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	1	53	223	83	30	4	2%	0.9	37.7%	13.6%	24.1%	1.9%	3.38	2.66	+1.2
2016	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	1	53	223	83	30	4	2%	0.9	37.2%	13.5%	23.8%	1.8%	3.38	2.65	+1.2
2017	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	67	0	69	254	126	14	6	0%	1.0	49.6%	5.5%	44.1%	2.4%	1.43	0.94	+3.0
2017	29	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	67	0	69	254	126	14	6	0%	1.0	49.6%	5.5%	44.1%	2.4%	1.43	1.19	+2.8
2018	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	63	0	62	247	96	31	7	0%	1.0	38.9%	12.6%	26.3%	2.9%	2.74	3.00	+1.2
2018	30	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	63	0	62	247	96	31	7	0%	1.0	38.9%	12.6%	26.3%	2.8%	2.74	2.97	+1.2
2019	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	1	24	110	34	13	10	4%	0.9	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	9.7%	5.92	7.39	-0.8
2019	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	1	24	110	34	13	10	4%	0.9	30.9%	11.8%	19.1%	9.1%	5.92	7.25	-0.8
2020	32	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	18	0	15	69	28	11	2	0%	0.9	40.6%	15.9%	24.6%	3.0%	5.28	3.35	+0.2
2020	32	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	18	0	15	69	28	11	2	0%	0.9	40.6%	15.9%	24.6%	2.9%	5.28	3.30	+0.2
2021	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	63	0	60	235	100	22	6	0%	0.9	42.6%	9.4%	33.2%	2.5%	2.26	2.07	+1.8
2021	33	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	63	0	60	235	100	22	6	0%	0.9	42.6%	9.4%	33.2%	2.6%	2.26	2.16	+1.7
2022	34	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	63	0	60	260	72	26	4	0%	1.0	27.7%	10.0%	17.7%	1.5%	3.75	2.84	+1.2
2022	34	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	63	0	60	260	72	26	4	0%	1.0	27.7%	10.0%	17.7%	1.5%	3.75	2.87	+1.2
2023	35	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	71	0	69	278	94	27	10	0%	1.0	33.8%	9.7%	24.1%	3.4%	3.26	3.32	+1.0
2023	35	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	71	0	69	278	94	27	10	0%	1.0	33.8%	9.7%	24.1%	3.6%	3.26	3.43	+0.9
2024	36	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	57	0	52	232	73	30	7	0%	0.9	31.5%	12.9%	18.5%	3.0%	5.33	3.75	+0.5
2024	36	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	57	0	52	232	73	30	7	0%	0.9	31.5%	12.9%	18.5%	3.0%	5.33	3.75	+0.5
2024	36	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	57	0	52	232	73	30	7	0%	0.9	31.5%	12.9%	18.5%	3.0%	5.33	3.77	+0.5
2025	37	MIX MLE	3 levels	56	0	51	211	68	28	6	0%	0.9	25.6%	11.9%	13.7%	3.2%	2.82	4.20	+0.2
2025	37	MIX MLE	3 levels	56	0	51	211	68	28	6	0%	0.9	25.6%	11.9%	13.7%	3.2%	2.82	4.20	+0.2
2025	37	MIX RAW	3 levels	56	0	51	211	68	28	6	0%	0.9	32.2%	13.3%	19.0%	2.8%	2.82	3.61	+0.6
2026	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	47	199	41	20	4	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	2.2%	4.40	3.88	+0.4
2026	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	47	199	41	20	4	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	2.2%	4.40	3.88	+0.4
2026	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	47	199	41	20	4	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.1%	10.6%	2.0%	4.40	3.74	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			897	0	868	3502	1322	355	79	0%	1.0	37.7%	10.1%	27.6%	2.3%	2.69	2.46	+21.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	39	MLB	KC	50	0	52	220	50	24	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.8%	12.1%	2.8%	4.44	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	40	MLB MLE	KC	42	0	45	188	41	22	6	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.5%	10.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.87	-0.2
2028	40	MLB CTX	KC	43	0	45	190	41	22	6	0%	1.0	21.7%	11.5%	10.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.87	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		939	0	912	3690	1363	377	85	0%	1.0	36.9%	10.2%	26.7%	2.3%	2.78	2.54	+22.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		206	0	200	809	299	83	19	0%	1.0	36.9%	10.2%	26.7%	2.3%	2.78	2.54	+4.8
Career	—	MLE		945	2	912	3684	1365	376	86	0%	1.0	37.1%	10.2%	26.9%	2.3%	2.70	2.55	+21.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		207	0	200	808	299	82	19	0%	1.0	37.1%	10.2%	26.9%	2.3%	2.70	2.55	+4.7

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Craig Kimbrel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	22.9%	10.8%	2.8%	—	4.87	21.7%	10.2%	45	+0.43	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	88
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	73
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	69
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	68
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	59
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	54
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	36
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	31

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	57	36.1%	10.6%	0.90	2.87
David Robertson ('25)	4.5	64	31.9%	9.9%	0.82	2.93
Billy Wagner ('10)	4.5	65	33.2%	8.3%	0.82	2.31
Tom Henke ('82-'95, 25 WAR*)	3.9	66	35.9%*	7.7%*	0.93*	2.72*
Francisco Rodríguez ('17)	4.9	65	28.5%	9.7%	0.90	2.86
Lee Smith ('80-'97, 29 WAR*)	6.4	72	30.4%*	8.9%*	0.89*	3.24*
Randy Myers ('85-'98, 16 WAR*)	4.4	74	29.4%*	10.4%*	0.92*	3.47*

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Craig Kimbrel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	22.9%	10.8%	2.8%	—	4.87	21.7%	10.2%	45	+0.43	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	88
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	73
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	69
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	68
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	59
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	54
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	36
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	31

Craig Kimbrel

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps