Adam Ottavino

P New York Yankees

Age 41 RHP 6'5" / 246 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR
2023	37	MLBNYM	66	62	3.21	3.83	23.8%	10.0%	0.5
2024	38	MLBNYM	60	56	4.34	3.17	28.6%	9.0%	0.9
2025	39	MLBNYY	3	2	0.00	6.70	33.3%	44.4%	-0.0
2027PROJ	41	MLBNYY	54	57	4.07	4.18	24.4%	9.2%	0.2
2028PROJ	42	MLBNYY	47	49	4.39	4.61	23.3%	9.8%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.4 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

K%85

xwOBA vs82

Whiff%53

FB Velo32

CompsTakashi Saito (age 41) · Keiichi Yabu (age 39) · Rafael Diaz (age 44)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10395vR 87

ERA4.07

FIP4.18

K%24.4%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%15.3%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF6050

CTRL5545

CMD6050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3293.2

Whiff%

p5325.7%

p8528.6%

xwOBA vs

p820.281

SL (33%)

SI (36%)

CT (7%)

FB (60%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2010	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	5	3	22	110	12	8	5	60%	4.5	10.9%	7.3%	3.6%	4.9%	8.46	5.78	-0.2
2010	24	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	5	3	22	110	12	8	5	60%	4.5	10.9%	7.3%	3.6%	4.5%	8.46	6.01	-0.3
2012	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	53	0	79	339	81	27	9	0%	1.5	23.9%	8.0%	15.9%	2.4%	4.56	3.38	+1.1
2012	26	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	53	0	79	339	81	27	9	0%	1.5	23.9%	8.0%	15.9%	2.7%	4.56	3.56	+0.9
2013	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	51	0	78	335	78	26	5	0%	1.5	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	1.3%	2.64	2.84	+1.6
2013	27	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	51	0	78	335	78	26	5	0%	1.5	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	1.5%	2.64	2.93	+1.5
2014	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	75	0	65	272	70	15	6	0%	0.9	25.7%	5.5%	20.2%	2.0%	3.60	2.70	+1.4
2014	28	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	75	0	65	272	70	15	6	0%	0.9	25.7%	5.5%	20.2%	2.2%	3.60	2.84	+1.3
2015	29	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	10	0	10	35	13	2	0	0%	1.0	37.1%	5.7%	31.4%	0.0%	0.00	0.69	+0.5
2015	29	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	10	0	10	35	13	2	0	0%	1.0	37.1%	5.7%	31.4%	0.0%	0.00	1.16	+0.4
2016	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	35	144	47	12	4	0%	0.8	32.7%	6.5%	26.2%	2.5%	3.31	2.53	+0.9
2016	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	35	144	47	12	4	0%	0.8	32.6%	8.3%	24.3%	2.8%	3.31	2.93	+0.7
2017	31	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	63	0	53	243	63	37	8	0%	0.8	25.9%	15.2%	10.7%	2.9%	5.06	4.44	+0.1
2017	31	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	63	0	53	243	63	37	8	0%	0.8	25.9%	15.2%	10.7%	3.3%	5.06	4.77	-0.1
2018	32	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	75	0	78	309	112	31	5	0%	1.0	36.2%	10.0%	26.2%	1.4%	2.43	2.10	+2.3
2018	32	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	75	0	78	309	112	31	5	0%	1.0	36.2%	10.0%	26.2%	1.6%	2.43	2.25	+2.1
2019	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	73	0	66	283	88	37	5	0%	0.9	31.1%	13.1%	18.0%	1.7%	1.90	3.04	+1.2
2019	33	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	73	0	66	283	88	37	5	0%	0.9	31.1%	13.1%	18.0%	1.8%	1.90	3.10	+1.1
2020	34	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	24	0	18	85	25	9	2	0%	0.8	29.4%	10.6%	18.8%	2.2%	5.89	3.17	+0.3
2020	34	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	24	0	18	85	25	9	2	0%	0.8	29.4%	10.6%	18.8%	2.4%	5.89	3.26	+0.3
2021	35	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	69	0	62	276	71	33	5	0%	0.9	25.7%	12.0%	13.8%	1.9%	4.21	3.46	+0.8
2021	35	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	69	0	62	276	71	33	5	0%	0.9	25.7%	12.0%	13.8%	1.8%	4.21	3.45	+0.8
2022	36	MLB MLE	New York Mets	66	0	66	258	79	14	6	0%	1.0	30.6%	5.4%	25.2%	2.3%	2.06	2.48	+1.6
2022	36	MLB RAW	New York Mets	66	0	66	258	79	14	6	0%	1.0	30.6%	5.4%	25.2%	2.3%	2.06	2.52	+1.6
2023	37	MLB MLE	New York Mets	66	0	62	261	62	26	7	0%	0.9	23.8%	10.0%	13.8%	2.7%	3.21	3.83	+0.5
2023	37	MLB RAW	New York Mets	66	0	62	261	62	26	7	0%	0.9	23.8%	10.0%	13.8%	2.7%	3.21	3.83	+0.5
2024	38	MLB MLE	New York Mets	60	0	56	245	70	22	6	0%	0.9	28.6%	9.0%	19.6%	2.5%	4.34	3.17	+0.9
2024	38	MLB MLE	New York Mets	60	0	56	245	70	22	6	0%	0.9	28.6%	9.0%	19.6%	2.5%	4.34	3.17	+0.9
2024	38	MLB RAW	New York Mets	60	0	56	245	70	22	6	0%	0.9	28.6%	9.0%	19.6%	2.4%	4.34	3.17	+0.9
2025	39	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	3	0	2	9	3	4	0	0%	0.6	33.3%	44.4%	-11.1%	0.0%	0.00	5.91	-0.0
2025	39	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	3	0	2	9	3	4	0	0%	0.6	33.3%	44.4%	-11.1%	0.0%	0.00	5.91	-0.0
2025	39	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	3	0	2	9	3	4	0	0%	0.6	33.3%	44.4%	-11.1%	0.0%	0.00	6.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			727	3	745	3167	862	298	72	0%	1.0	27.2%	9.4%	17.8%	2.3%	3.48	3.24	+11.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	41	MLB	NYY	54	0	57	241	59	22	7	0%	1.1	24.4%	9.2%	15.3%	2.9%	4.07	4.18	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	42	MLB MLE	NYY	47	0	49	207	48	20	7	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.8%	13.4%	3.4%	4.39	4.61	-0.0
2028	42	MLB CTX	NYY	47	0	49	207	48	20	7	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.8%	13.4%	3.4%	4.39	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		774	3	794	3374	910	318	79	0%	1.0	27.0%	9.4%	17.5%	2.3%	3.54	3.30	+11.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	1	200	850	229	80	20	0%	1.0	27.0%	9.4%	17.5%	2.3%	3.54	3.30	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		737	3	753	3204	874	300	69	0%	1.0	27.3%	9.4%	17.9%	2.2%	3.50	3.17	+11.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		196	1	200	851	232	80	18	0%	1.0	27.3%	9.4%	17.9%	2.2%	3.50	3.17	+2.9

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Adam Ottavino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.18	24.4%	9.2%	2.9%	—	4.61	23.3%	13.4%	49	+0.43	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2011 · 3.09 FIP	41	SU	3.09	21.3%	6.5%	1.8%	.250	6.02	18.3%	11.6%	12	+2.93	1.50	338	71
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	68
Rafael Diaz R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	44	SW	4.07	17.3%	10.5%	2.0%	.301	3.17	16.2%	9.4%	152	-0.90	3.04	215	67
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	64
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	17

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	61	26.8%	10.3%	0.92	3.57
Jose Valverde ('14)	3.2	57	26.2%	10.0%	0.96	3.27
Andrew Miller ('21)	4.1	59	27.1%	10.6%	0.87	4.03
Brian Fuentes ('12)	3.1	56	24.4%	9.8%	0.94	3.62
Randy Myers ('85-'98, 16 WAR*)	4.4	74	29.4%*	10.4%*	0.92*	3.47*
Al Hrabosky ('70-'82, 10 WAR*)	3.6	72	26.7%*	10.1%*	0.98*	3.50*
Paul Assenmacher ('86-'99, 12 WAR*)	4.3	61	27.8%*	8.3%*	0.98*	3.61*

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Ottavino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.18	24.4%	9.2%	2.9%	—	4.61	23.3%	13.4%	49	+0.43	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2011 · 3.09 FIP	41	SU	3.09	21.3%	6.5%	1.8%	.250	6.02	18.3%	11.6%	12	+2.93	1.50	338	71
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	68
Rafael Diaz R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	44	SW	4.07	17.3%	10.5%	2.0%	.301	3.17	16.2%	9.4%	152	-0.90	3.04	215	67
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	64
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	17

Adam Ottavino

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps