Kirby Yates

P Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 40 RHP 5'10" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	37	MLBTEX	61	0	62	1.17	2.09	35.9%	9.7%	1.8
2025	38	MIX2 levels	51	0	42	5.10	4.64	29.1%	9.9%	-0.0	K 29.2% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.50
2026	39	MIX3 levels	50	1	46	4.08	3.25	28.1%	9.0%	0.7	K 27.5% · BB 9.6% · FIP 2.99
2027PROJ	40	MLBPIT	41	0	43	3.61	3.84	28.1%	9.4%	0.4
2028PROJ	41	MLBPIT	35	0	37	4.01	4.28	27.0%	10.1%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.5 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%79

xwOBA vs78

Whiff%67

FB Velo10

CompsKeiichi Yabu (age 39) · Gaudencio Aguirre (age 42) · Erubiel Gonzalez (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10091vR 83

ERA3.61

FIP3.84

K%28.1%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%18.7%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3535

CMD6565

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.8

Whiff%

p6728.0%

p7927.5%

xwOBA vs

p780.285

FB+1.7 (58%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2014	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	37	0	36	156	42	12	4	0%	1.0	26.9%	7.7%	19.2%	2.6%	3.75	3.25	+0.6
2014	27	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	37	0	36	156	42	12	4	0%	1.0	26.9%	7.7%	19.2%	2.6%	3.75	3.21	+0.6
2015	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	1	48	219	57	20	15	2%	1.1	24.4%	9.4%	15.0%	7.5%	6.61	6.32	-1.0
2015	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	1	48	219	57	20	15	2%	1.1	26.0%	9.1%	16.9%	6.8%	6.61	6.06	-0.8
2016	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	58	253	69	24	5	0%	1.1	26.4%	9.6%	16.8%	1.9%	4.19	3.11	+1.0
2016	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	58	253	69	24	5	0%	1.1	27.3%	9.5%	17.8%	2.0%	4.19	3.08	+1.0
2017	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	0	64	264	102	20	12	0%	0.9	38.1%	7.4%	30.7%	5.1%	3.82	3.60	+0.7
2017	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	68	0	64	264	102	20	12	0%	0.9	38.6%	7.6%	31.1%	4.5%	3.82	3.29	+1.0
2018	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	65	0	63	250	90	17	6	0%	1.0	36.0%	6.8%	29.2%	2.3%	2.14	2.21	+1.8
2018	31	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	65	0	63	250	90	17	6	0%	1.0	36.0%	6.8%	29.2%	2.4%	2.14	2.29	+1.7
2019	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	60	0	61	243	101	12	2	0%	1.0	41.6%	4.9%	36.6%	0.8%	1.19	0.66	+2.9
2019	32	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	60	0	61	243	101	12	2	0%	1.0	41.6%	4.9%	36.6%	0.8%	1.19	0.79	+2.8
2020	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	6	0	4	25	8	4	1	0%	0.7	32.0%	16.0%	16.0%	4.0%	12.46	4.62	-0.0
2020	33	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	6	0	4	25	8	4	1	0%	0.7	32.0%	16.0%	16.0%	4.0%	12.46	5.18	-0.0
2022	35	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	2	15	65	16	7	2	12%	0.9	24.6%	10.8%	13.8%	3.1%	2.93	4.07	+0.1
2022	35	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	2	15	65	16	7	2	12%	0.9	24.6%	10.8%	13.8%	3.1%	2.93	4.08	+0.1
2023	36	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	61	0	60	254	80	36	9	0%	1.0	31.5%	14.2%	17.3%	3.5%	3.28	4.18	+0.3
2023	36	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	61	0	60	254	80	36	9	0%	1.0	31.5%	14.2%	17.3%	3.5%	3.28	4.18	+0.3
2024	37	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	61	0	62	237	85	23	3	0%	1.0	35.9%	9.7%	26.2%	1.2%	1.17	1.95	+1.9
2024	37	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	61	0	62	237	85	23	3	0%	1.0	35.9%	9.7%	26.2%	1.2%	1.17	1.95	+1.9
2024	37	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	61	0	62	237	85	23	3	0%	1.0	35.9%	9.7%	26.2%	1.3%	1.17	2.09	+1.8
2025	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	42	182	53	18	9	0%	0.8	29.2%	9.6%	19.7%	4.9%	5.10	4.50	+0.0
2025	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	42	182	53	18	9	0%	0.8	29.2%	9.6%	19.7%	4.9%	5.10	4.50	+0.0
2025	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	42	182	53	18	9	0%	0.8	29.1%	9.9%	19.2%	4.9%	5.10	4.64	-0.0
2026	39	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	1	46	199	56	18	5	2%	0.9	27.5%	9.6%	18.0%	1.8%	4.08	2.99	+0.9
2026	39	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	1	46	199	56	18	5	2%	0.9	27.5%	9.6%	18.0%	1.8%	4.08	2.99	+0.9
2026	39	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	1	46	199	56	18	5	2%	0.9	28.1%	9.0%	19.1%	2.5%	4.08	3.25	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			518	1	495	2061	672	185	66	0%	1.0	32.6%	9.0%	23.6%	3.2%	3.35	3.24	+7.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	40	MLB	PIT	41	0	43	182	51	17	5	0%	1.0	28.1%	9.4%	18.7%	2.8%	3.61	3.84	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	41	MLB MLE	PIT	35	0	37	156	42	16	5	0%	1.1	27.0%	10.1%	16.9%	3.3%	4.01	4.28	+0.1
2028	41	MLB CTX	PIT	35	0	37	156	42	16	5	0%	1.1	27.0%	10.1%	16.9%	3.3%	4.01	4.28	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		553	1	532	2217	714	201	71	0%	1.0	32.2%	9.1%	23.2%	3.2%	3.39	3.29	+8.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		208	0	200	834	268	76	27	0%	1.0	32.2%	9.1%	23.2%	3.2%	3.39	3.29	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		576	4	559	2347	751	212	74	1%	1.0	32.0%	9.0%	23.0%	3.1%	3.43	3.26	+7.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		206	1	200	839	268	76	26	1%	1.0	32.0%	9.0%	23.0%	3.1%	3.43	3.26	+2.9

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Kirby Yates (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.84	28.1%	9.4%	2.8%	—	4.28	27.0%	16.9%	37	+0.44	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	49
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	45
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	39
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	6

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	48	31.9%	9.6%	1.23	3.41
Héctor Neris ('25)	3.1	57	29.4%	9.2%	1.19	3.47
Cody Allen ('19)	2.3	58	30.5%	9.9%	1.07	3.14
Mychal Givens ('23)	2.3	58	28.2%	10.0%	1.05	3.47
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*
Paul Assenmacher ('86-'99, 12 WAR*)	4.3	61	27.8%*	8.3%*	0.98*	3.61*
Randy Myers ('85-'98, 16 WAR*)	4.4	74	29.4%*	10.4%*	0.92*	3.47*

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kirby Yates (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.84	28.1%	9.4%	2.8%	—	4.28	27.0%	16.9%	37	+0.44	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	49
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	45
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	39
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	6

Kirby Yates

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps