Chris Martin

P Texas Rangers

Age 41 RHP 6'8" / 224 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	38	MIX2 levels	46	0	45	3.38	2.53	27.2%	1.6%	1.1	K 27.8% · BB 1.1% · FIP 2.46
2025	39	MIX2 levels	50	0	43	2.91	3.22	24.9%	2.8%	0.7	K 24.7% · BB 2.9% · FIP 3.14
2026	40	MIX3 levels	26	1	23	8.22	5.53	13.2%	1.9%	-0.3	K 13.6% · BB 3.0% · FIP 5.43
2027PROJ	41	MLBTEX	48	0	50	4.03	3.93	21.6%	3.3%	0.4
2028PROJ	42	MLBTEX	41	0	43	4.23	4.37	20.4%	4.0%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.5 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo50

Whiff%10

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsTakashi Saito (age 41) · Keiichi Yabu (age 39) · Gaudencio Aguirre (age 42)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA4.03

FIP3.93

K%21.6%

BB%3.3%

K-BB%18.3%

Proj IP50

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL7575

CMD7070

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p1015.9%

p1013.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.408

SI (12%)

CU (6%)

SL (6%)

CT (42%)

FB-0.6 (38%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2014	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	16	0	16	69	14	4	2	0%	1.0	20.3%	5.8%	14.5%	2.6%	6.89	3.53	+0.2
2014	28	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	16	0	16	69	14	4	2	0%	1.0	20.3%	5.8%	14.5%	2.9%	6.89	3.74	+0.2
2015	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	49	221	43	15	3	0%	1.1	18.1%	7.0%	11.1%	1.4%	4.22	3.24	+0.8
2015	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	49	221	43	15	3	0%	1.1	19.5%	6.8%	12.7%	1.4%	4.22	3.06	+0.9
2018	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	45	189	41	3	5	0%	0.9	20.9%	1.7%	19.2%	2.7%	4.23	3.04	+0.8
2018	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	45	189	41	3	5	0%	0.9	21.7%	1.6%	20.1%	2.6%	4.23	2.92	+0.9
2019	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	58	0	56	216	65	5	9	0%	1.0	30.1%	2.3%	27.8%	4.2%	3.40	3.14	+0.9
2019	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	58	0	56	216	65	5	9	0%	1.0	30.1%	2.3%	27.8%	4.2%	3.40	3.14	+0.9
2020	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	19	0	18	66	20	2	1	0%	0.9	30.3%	3.0%	27.3%	1.5%	1.00	1.76	+0.6
2020	34	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	19	0	18	66	20	2	1	0%	0.9	30.3%	3.0%	27.3%	1.5%	1.00	1.93	+0.6
2021	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	47	197	37	6	4	0%	0.9	18.2%	2.8%	15.5%	2.2%	4.21	3.12	+0.8
2021	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	47	197	37	6	4	0%	0.9	18.8%	3.0%	15.7%	2.0%	4.21	3.01	+0.9
2022	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	0	56	225	74	4	6	0%	0.9	32.9%	1.8%	31.1%	2.6%	3.05	1.95	+1.8
2022	36	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	60	0	56	225	74	4	6	0%	0.9	32.9%	1.8%	31.1%	2.7%	3.05	2.06	+1.7
2023	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	52	205	46	5	2	0%	0.9	23.1%	2.5%	20.6%	1.0%	1.03	2.03	+1.6
2023	37	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	52	205	46	5	2	0%	0.9	22.4%	2.4%	20.0%	1.0%	1.03	2.13	+1.5
2024	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	45	184	50	3	5	0%	1.0	27.8%	1.1%	26.7%	2.8%	3.38	2.46	+1.1
2024	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	45	184	50	3	5	0%	1.0	27.8%	1.1%	26.7%	2.8%	3.38	2.46	+1.1
2024	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	45	184	50	3	5	0%	1.0	27.2%	1.6%	25.5%	2.7%	3.38	2.53	+1.1
2025	39	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	177	44	5	6	0%	0.9	24.7%	2.9%	21.8%	3.2%	2.91	3.14	+0.7
2025	39	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	177	44	5	6	0%	0.9	24.7%	2.9%	21.8%	3.2%	2.91	3.14	+0.7
2025	39	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	43	177	44	5	6	0%	0.9	24.9%	2.8%	22.0%	3.4%	2.91	3.22	+0.7
2026	40	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	1	23	106	14	2	6	4%	0.9	13.6%	3.0%	10.6%	5.6%	8.22	5.43	-0.2
2026	40	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	1	23	106	14	2	6	4%	0.9	13.6%	3.0%	10.6%	5.6%	8.22	5.43	-0.2
2026	40	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	1	23	106	14	2	6	4%	0.9	13.2%	1.9%	11.3%	5.7%	8.22	5.53	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			434	0	403	1652	409	42	46	0%	0.9	24.8%	2.5%	22.2%	2.8%	3.53	2.87	+8.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	41	MLB	TEX	48	0	50	211	46	7	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	3.3%	18.3%	3.4%	4.03	3.93	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	42	MLB MLE	TEX	41	0	43	180	37	7	7	0%	1.0	20.4%	4.0%	16.4%	3.8%	4.23	4.37	+0.1
2028	42	MLB CTX	TEX	41	0	43	182	37	7	7	0%	1.0	20.4%	4.0%	16.4%	3.8%	4.23	4.37	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		475	0	446	1832	446	49	53	0%	0.9	24.3%	2.7%	21.6%	2.9%	3.60	2.97	+8.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		213	0	200	822	200	22	24	0%	0.9	24.3%	2.7%	21.6%	2.9%	3.60	2.97	+3.8
Career	—	MLE		474	1	450	1855	445	55	49	0%	0.9	24.0%	2.9%	21.1%	2.6%	3.56	2.90	+8.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		211	0	200	824	198	24	22	0%	0.9	24.0%	2.9%	21.1%	2.6%	3.56	2.90	+3.7

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Chris Martin (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.93	21.6%	3.3%	3.4%	—	4.37	20.4%	16.4%	43	+0.44	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2011 · 3.09 FIP	41	SU	3.09	21.3%	6.5%	1.8%	.250	6.02	18.3%	11.6%	12	+2.93	1.50	338	66
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	49
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	49
Rafael Diaz R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	44	SW	4.07	17.3%	10.5%	2.0%	.301	3.17	16.2%	9.4%	152	-0.90	3.04	215	48
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	5

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	50	24.0%	3.4%	1.14	3.64
Nick Vincent ('21)	2.1	46	24.1%	6.2%	0.94	3.30
Addison Reed ('18)	2.3	66	24.5%	6.2%	1.04	3.53
Rafael Betancourt ('15)	3.4	57	26.0%	5.9%	0.93	3.36
Donnie Moore ('75-'88, 7 WAR*)	3.3	60	20.7%*	6.6%*	1.00*	3.83*
Doug Jones ('82-'00, 23 WAR*)	5.6	81	24.1%*	5.0%*	0.81*	3.31*
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Martin (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.93	21.6%	3.3%	3.4%	—	4.37	20.4%	16.4%	43	+0.44	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2011 · 3.09 FIP	41	SU	3.09	21.3%	6.5%	1.8%	.250	6.02	18.3%	11.6%	12	+2.93	1.50	338	66
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	49
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	49
Rafael Diaz R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	44	SW	4.07	17.3%	10.5%	2.0%	.301	3.17	16.2%	9.4%	152	-0.90	3.04	215	48
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	5

Chris Martin

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps